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Utah's Daily Policy Resource, Brought to you by Utah Policy Message CenterWe've launched a political discussion forum on FacebookJoin us to discuss the news of the day, plus help us decide what stories to cover and what questions to ask in our polls.You can join our group here.Situational awarenessWelcome to Monday another hot week ahead. (But the dog days of summer will soon be the cooler days of autumn.) Top of the news: Horrific mass shootings focus attention on guns and white supremacist terrorism. UtahPolicy.com/Y2Analytics poll reveals Utahns like to get their news on-line. Webb column: Hard work will win mayoral primary; can an unknown win the governor's race?TICK TOCKToday is the 217th day of the year. There are 148 days remaining in 2019. 8 days to the 2019 Utah primary elections (8/13/2019) 92 days to the 2019 municipal elections (11/5/2019) 150 days until candidates can begin to gather signatures to get on the 2020 ballot (1/2/2020) 175 days to the first day of the 2020 Utah Legislature (1/27/2020) 182 days to the 2020 Iowa Caucuses (2/3/2020) 211 days to the 2020 Utah presidential primary (3/3/2020) 220 days to the final day of the 2020 Utah Legislature (3/12/2020) 221 days to the opening of candidate filing for the 2020 election (3/13/2020) Today At Utah PolicyWhere do Utahns get their news? Mostly from on-line sourcesBy Bob Bernick, Contributing Editor Most Utahns are now getting their news from online content, a UtahPolicy.com/Y2 Analytics survey finds.The newest Utah Political Trends poll asked about 2,400 registered voters where they learn about current events.And their answers should worry any traditional news source that is not making great efforts to get its news product online, and attract online readers.Opinion briefs: Mayoral race down to wire . . . can an unknown candidate win governorship? By LaVarr Webb, Publisher Mayoral race: a real test of candidate capabilities. The SLC mayoral race is tightening, according to a Salt Lake Tribune poll . Luz Escamilla is within the margin of error of frontrunner James Dabakis, and Erin Mendenhall isn't far behind Escamilla.But polls have a hard time predicting who's going to vote. There could be a surprise in the primary election. It's hard to predict which candidates will be most effective in getting their supporters to mail in their ballots or go to the polls.Zions Economic outlook: July job gains solid, but trade war weighs heavy By Robert Spendlove and Joseph Mayans The U.S. labor market added a respectable 164,000 jobs in July. This was roughly in line with consensus estimates and shows that employers are still willing to hire despite growing uncertainty in the economy. The official unemployment rate remained near historical lows at 3.7 percent and the broader measure of underemployment declined to the lowest level since 2000 of 7.0 percent. The low levels of unemployment and underemployment came even as more individuals entered the labor force in search of a job. The labor force participation rate, which measures those working or looking for work, rose from 62.9 percent to 63.0 percent marking the second consecutive month of gains. Annual wage growth, which was expected to register at 3.1 percent, rose to 3.2 percentUtah Republicans, Democrats have wildly differing views on changing weather patterns and climate change By Bryan Schott, Managing Editor The newest Utah Political Trends survey asked Utahns about changing weather patterns in the state and whether those changes are due to human-caused climate change, or just normal year-to-year variations in weather patterns.Pollcast: A conversation about public opinion polling with Kyrene Gibb of Y2 Analytics By Bryan Schott, Managing Editor UtahPolicy.com is partnering with Y2 Analytics to launch the Utah Political Trends project to measure public attitudes of Utahns on several issues.Bob Bernick's notebook: Remembering Norma Matheson By Bob Bernick, Contributing Editor Many fine testimonials this past week for former Utah First Lady Norma Matheson upon her passing last Sunday.Just over half of Utahns say tariffs are a good foreign policy tool By Bryan Schott, Managing Editor A slim majority of Utahns says they think the use of tariffs on goods imported from other countries as a foreign policy tool is a good idea.So, about our job approval polls... By Bryan Schott, Managing Editor "What's up with your new approval rating polls? They seem lower than most past polls," is a common refrain we've heard from several Utah politicos since we unveiled the first batch of results in July. OTHER UTAH HEADLINESDeseret News Pignanelli and Webb: Some things worth watching: Rep. Rob Bishop's next move, 1st District contenders and GOP unity Chris Stewart: Defending democracy around the world Op-ed: U.S. dependence on foreign mineral resources Editorial: Solving health care costs requires a multi-pronged attack Utah school board OKs $21.6 million contract with SAGE test maker Utah high court throws out ban on valid surrogacy contracts for gay couples U.S. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy says withdrawal from INF treaty right decision Report shows wildfires and heat stoking Salt Lake City's ozone problem Without intervention, Utah's 'opportunity gap' between white, minority students will grow, regents told New Salt Lake mayoral poll shows Jim Dabakis' lead dwindling Trump, Putin discuss replacing Ambassador Jon Huntsman Jr. Tax reform task force not going to 'tax everything,' but still looking at sales taxes on some services Primary election: Who's on the ballot along the Wasatch Front? Poll: Majority of Utahns say it's time for someone else to be president other than TrumpSalt Lake Tribune Editorial: Charter school accountability? We're still hoping A new task force will scrutinize Utah charter schools and their spending. Is it necessary? New poll shows tightening race for Salt Lake City mayor with Jim Dabakis and Luz Escamilla leading Joe Biden to make campaign stop in Utah in September Trump, Putin discuss need for new Russian ambassador because of Jon Huntsman's expected departure, report says Former UTA manager says superiors unfairly reduced worker raises, while they pocketed big ones Salt Lake City voters say air quality is their most pressing issue, but mayoral candidates making it a top priority lag in new pollOther Firm recommends $87 million rebuild of Utah County admin, public works campuses (Daily Herald)NATIONAL HEADLINESImpeachment. More than half of House Democrats now support opening an impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump [Politico]. Heading for the exits. Texas Rep. Will Hurd, the only black Republican in the House, announced he would not run for re-election in 2020. Hurd is the only Republican to represent a district along the southwestern border. Hurd's retirement is the ninth House Republican to announce his retirement this year [NYT]. Hurd's announcement has Republicans in Texas worried about holding on to a district Democrats are desperate to flip in 2020 [Texas Tribune].More tariffs. China is threatening retaliation if President Trump goes through with a new round of tariffs he announced on Thursday afternoon. Global markets tumbled on the news of the potential renewed trade war between the two nations [AP]. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin wanted to give China a heads up about Trump's new tariffs but was overruled [Bloomberg].Comey. The Justice Department declined to prosecute former FBI director James Comey after determining he mishandled two memos he wrote about his interactions with President Trump that contained classified information [AP]. 2020. When will the Democratic field start to shrink? There are still 24 Democrats running for president following the first two rounds of debates [NYT]. The Nevada GOP will use a poll of the party's state central committee to re-nominate President Trump instead of the usual caucus process next year [LVRJ].Budget deal. The Senate passed the massive budget deal that raises the debt ceiling, sending the measure to President Trump's desk [CNN]. A stark warning. The FBI is warning fringe conspiracy theories now present a domestic terrorism threat [Yahoo!]. Hmmm. Rep. John Ratcliffe, President Trump's pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence, is considered to be "relatively disengaged" from his work on the House Intelligence Committee and is little known by rank-and-file workers in the various spy agencies he may potentially head up [WaPo]. Ratcliffe has claimed he led a massive roundup of immigrant workers in 2008 when he was a federal prosecutor. Court documents show that's not true [WaPo].Russia. As expected, the U.S. is exiting a three-decade-old arms control treaty with Russia and plans to test a new missile in the coming weeks which would have been prohibited under the pact [AP]. Climate. July may have been the hottest month ever recorded in human history [CNN]. ON THIS DAY IN HISTORY1858 First telegraph line across the Atlantic Ocean is completed, led by U.S. businessman Cyrus West Field. 1914 German assault on Liege, Belgium begins first battle of WW1. 1914 World's first electric traffic signal is installed in Cleveland. 1962 Actress Marilyn Monroe is found dead in her L.A. home of apparent drug overdose. 1976 NBA merges with rival American Basketball Association. 1981 Pres. Ronald Reagan fires 11,359 air-traffic controllers after they go on strike. Policy NewsStrata creates new initiative called StratasphereThe free-market think tank Strata, based in Logan, has embarked on a new initiative called The Stratasphere, which publishes short articles and seeks to find common ground with critics.Randy Simmons, president and co-founder of Strata, issued this statement:Ambassador to China praises Utah's efforts on trade relations While participating in the National Governors Association Summer Meeting held in Salt Lake City, U.S. ambassador to China Terry Branstad met with WTC Utah as well as local business leaders and legislators with strong ties to China. The luncheon provided a forum for the group to discuss the importance of engaging with China on a state level despite international trade disputes.Press release: American Dreams Ideas Challenge seeks innovative policy ideas The University of Utah, in partnership with Schmidt Futures, a philanthropic initiative founded by Eric and Wendy Schmidt, is sponsoring the American Dream Ideas Challenge. The challenge calls for innovative policy ideas or investable concepts that have the potential to increase net income for 10,000 middle-class households in Utah by 10 percent by 2022. Casual Friday: Weekend Events & Outdoors Report Outdoors Report-- Salt Lake Tribune: Utah wants more people to hunt cougars, but some say losing big cats will pose big problems More National HeadlinesTrump offers condolences in wake of dual mass shootings: 'Hate has no place in our country' (ABC News) The left's big blame game after El Paso: Guns, Trump, white supremacy (American Thinker) The Dayton Shooter Was A Satanist, Leftist-Socialist, And Bernie/Warren Fan, Supported Antifa (RedState) Vox Confirms That, Yes, They Do Want to Take Our Guns (PJ Media) This legally armed military man rushed into action to protect children during El Paso attack (The Blaze) Former Google Engineer Says Google Will Try to Prevent Trump's Reelection (PJ Media) Europe's flight-shame movement has travellers taking trains to save the planet (Stuff) 'One Child Nation': Inside China's Horrifying Child-Killing Policy (Daily Beast) More than 20% of millennials claim to have no friends, poll finds (Daily News) For Democrats, and for Republicans, a summer of discontent (Washington Post) Feds probing AOC's chief of staff Saikat Chakrabarti after sudden resignation (New York Post)Wise WordsTrue Leader"A leader is best when people barely know he exists, when his work is done, his aim fulfilled, they will say: we did it ourselves." Lao Tzu Lighter SideDem Debate"Of course, last night [Aug 2] was the second straight night of Democratic debates on CNN. Which means last night, we all watched a bunch of randos try to score points and move on in the competition - or if you didn't watch 'Love Island,' you could have watched the debate." - JAMES CORDEN Listen to us on_Apple Podcasts Subscribers may receive special messages with information about new features, special offers, or public policy messages from clients and advertisers. |
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