Good morning Voornaam, So far, so good! The new format seems to be quite popular. My dream with Ghost Mail has always been to write to you, not at you. It feels like this is being achieved now, but of course I still value your feedback (good and bad). I would like to specifically draw your attention to the brand new episode of Ghost Stories, in which Siyabulela Nomoyi of Satrix joined me to consider the ETF scorecard this year and where the right place was to put your money. Find it at this link. Let's get into it!
Ghost Wrap podcast (Capital Appreciation vs. PBT Group | Mustek | Bidvest | Hyprop vs. Growthpoint | Astral Foods + Quantum Foods | Trellidor | Southern Sun vs. City Lodge) |
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| Kick your day off with the Ghost Wrap podcast. This bumper episode is 7 minutes long and deals with local tech small caps, property funds, chicken groups, hospitality businesses and even a couple of industrials. Brought to you by Mazars, Ghost Wrap is the smart way to stay updated. |
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Software-as-a-service changed the world of technology. Salesforce pioneered the model. A company like Adobe adopted it with great success. Are these companies ready for Artificial Intelligence? Which one would we choose? Find out in Episode 143 of Magic Markets, brought to you by B2IT. |
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NEW: How have ETFs done thus far in 2023 and where was the right place to put your money? Find out in Ghost Stories with Siyabulela Nomoyi of Satrix. |
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| Building a business is hard. Huenu Solsona believes in building enjoyable businesses that make it easier, an approach she shared with me in the bizval podcast. |
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Harmony Gold is now part of the Unlock the Stock story, sharing insights into the recent performance and plans for the future. For those stock market junkies who love doing their own research, this is the perfect platform. Unlock the Stock is brought to you by A2X. |
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TreasuryONE Market Update The highest US Treasury yields in over a decade. That's been the story of the week, with the market finally taking a breather as the focus shifts towards month-end positioning and an anticipated period of consolidation. It's expected that 10-year yields in the US will hover around the 4.5% mark. Italians are excellent at making fast cars and carbohydrate-focused delights. Fiscal policy? Not so much. Italy's fiscal deficit is now expected to be 5.5% of GDP, up from 4.5%. Along with difficult projections for 2024 as well, this cast a shadow on the euro. The dollar remains the kingpin, with the rand reaching R19.20. There's still much debate around whether the oil price will reach $100 a barrel. Although depletion of oil inventories is affecting the oil market, Goldman Sachs has issued a note saying that the bulk of the price rally has likely already occurred. The thesis here is that further supply cuts could end up hurting demand. China is also a key variable in the forecast. With oil at $97.3 this morning, it's quite possible that we will get to $100. The question is: will we stay there? |
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| The lessons dished out by the markets this year have been all about how companies cope in inflationary conditions. The winners have one thing in common: pricing power. |
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Ghost Bites - local company news |
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| Get all the details you need on Ascendis, Ethos Capital, Grand Parade, Old Mutual, Rebosis, York Timber and Wesizwe Platinum. |
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Desperate sellers get desperate outcomes Rebosis is busy with a garage sale. Literally. The property fund needs to sell as many properties as possible in the business rescue process. Now, if you've ever sold a property, you'll know that it isn't the easiest process. To make it more difficult, many of the Rebosis properties are office buildings with high vacancy rates. And to add final insult to the several existing injuries, Rebosis is a desperate seller. Do you know what a desperate seller finds? Opportunistic buyers. Enter a subsidiary of Heriot Investments, which has picked up a portfolio of assets from Rebosis at a price vastly below the independent valuation that was done on 1 April 2023 (the date is mildly funny). This doesn't necessarily mean that the valuation experts didn't do their jobs. If you look closer, you'll see that Rebosis sold the properties on a massive implied yield of over 26%. This means that in theory, if the buyer can just maintain the current level of income, the payback on the properties is four years. Moving on from desperate property funds, we find desperate consumers. I would far rather own a bank than an investment house in this country, evidenced by the difference in return on equity between Old Mutual and our local banks. Consumers don't have money, so one would logically rather lend to them than rely on them investing for the future. But of course, it depends entirely on what valuation you pay for the shares. Much of the banking uplift was priced in this year, whereas Old Mutual was trading at a particularly modest valuation. To see how that played out, here's Old Mutual's share price this year vs. its old flame, Nedbank: |
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Disclaimer Our content is intended to be used and must be used for informational purposes only. You must do your own analysis before executing any investments or strategic decisions, based on your own circumstances. We do not provide personalised recommendations or views as to whether an investment approach or corporate strategy is suited to the needs of a specific individual or entity. You should take independent financial advice from a suitably qualified individual who gives due regard to your personal circumstances. Whilst every care is taken, we accept no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in any of our content. The views, thoughts and opinions expressed in our content belong solely to the author or quoted individuals and/or entities, and not necessarily to the author's employer, organisation, committee or other group or individual, or any of our affiliates or brand partners. |
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