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THE CAPITALS
YOUR DAILY UPDATE ON EUROPEAN POLITICS

Welcome to The Capitals. I’m Eddy Wax, with Nicoletta Ionta, in Brussels.

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In today’s edition:

  • We sit down with India’s foreign affairs minister
  • Meloni celebrates a referendum win, of sorts

India eyes major concessions on EU trade deal: “The idea that one part of the world will set standards for everybody else is something which we are against,” India’s External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar told The Capitals in an interview yesterday. Translation: The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, or CBAM, is still a burden for the EU brand around the world - even among would-be allies.

Jaishankar’s visit to Brussels comes as India negotiates a free trade agreement with the EU, pitching his country of 1.4 billion people as a source of skilled labour and a more trustworthy economic partner than China.

“We are interested in a deeper, stronger relationship with the EU and I have good reason to believe that the EU reciprocates,” he told me and Euractiv Editor-in-Chief Matthew Kartnitschnig on Monday. Jaishankar will meet Ursula von der Leyen and Kaja Kallas today.

Bartering with Bharat: Trade talks stalled between 2013 and 2022, but geopolitical tensions are pushing India and the EU together. India is spooked by the closer relationship between Russia and its neighbour China, while the EU is facing huge tariffs from its closest trading partner, the US. That might suggest why India can afford to sound bullish about maintaining its high agricultural tariffs while scoring major exemptions from the Commission in a trade deal that von der Leyen touted as the largest of its kind. “Europe is becoming far more realistic,” Jaishankar said.

Part of New Delhi’s demands is special treatment when it comes to the global ambitions of the European Green Deal, notably CBAM, which is a climate levy on imported goods intended to encourage lower emissions outside the EU while maintaining the competitiveness of companies inside the bloc.

Stay in your lane, Brussels: “We have very deep reservations on CBAM, and we’ve been quite open about it,” Jaishankar said.

This might suggest it will be difficult to strike a deal, but Jaishankar said the two sides have already agreed 10 of the 20 negotiating chapters. “I think we have a good possibility of closing it out by the end of the year,” he said. And he suggested that there is a newfound flexibility and pragmatism on the EU side. It turns out that Europe – who knew? – is “not a fixed point with set demands and expectations."

But isn't it the same von der Leyen, we pointed out, who has been in charge since 2019? “People change,” Jaishankar replied.

India’s pitch: The EU’s ageing society and stagnating economy would get a boost from a deal that unlocked more visas for Indian professionals, particularly those with skills in tech and health care. Without naming China, he said that European businesses are looking for partners who can be trusted to store their data and not steal their IP.

Leaf out of my dictionary: Jaishankar claimed the world is moving toward a “multi-polar” system of competing powers – as opposed to being dominated by a few superpowers. He welcomed that EU is only waking up to this but said India has long been prepared for it - unable to depend on the Americans, Soviets, Brits, or anyone else. “What I hear today in Europe are words like strategic autonomy. These used to be words in our lexicon.”

Under threat from US tariffs, India is holding parallel trade talks with the US. Asked point blank if he trusted Donald Trump, Jaishankar said: “I take the world as I get it.”

"We don't want to leave the table. We want to finish the game and win, to take power in France and in Europe and give it back to the people" - Marine Le Pen.

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Italy’s long weekend: Italians headed to the polls on the weekend to vote on five referendums aimed at reforming labour laws and granting faster citizenship to immigrants.

Meloni wins by not playing: Giorgia Meloni’s coalition didn’t lift a finger and still won big, after urging voters to abstain from the referendums. All five proposals crashed and burned on Monday as turnout stalled around 30%, well below the 50%+1 quorum required for the results to count.

The proposals driven by trade unions and progressive parties, included scrapping limits on compensation caps for unfair dismissal in small firms, and cutting the residency requirement for Italian citizenship from 10 to 5 years - a change that would affect around 2.5 million foreign residents, campaigners said.

Meloni showed up - sort of: The prime minister went to the polling station, but refused to collect the ballots, a legal tactic that records her presence without casting a vote.

“SI”: The "Yes" camp cleaned up among those who voted - up to 85% in favour on labour issues, 65% on easing citizenship rules for non-EU foreigners - but it wasn’t nearly enough.

Brothers of Italy (ECR) gloated on social media: “You lost”, splashing opposition leaders’ faces across a victory post. “The only real goal of this referendum was to bring down the Meloni government,” the party claimed, taking aim at centre-left Democratic Party (PD) Senate leader Francesco Boccia who had called the vote “a first eviction notice for Giorgia Meloni”. “In the end, it was the Italians who brought you down,” the party shot back.

Meanwhile, PD leader Elly Schlein framed the 14 million turnout as a moral win: “They celebrate people not voting. We brought 14 million to the polls. See you at the next general election."

Changing the rules: The referendum push had hit the ground running last year, with activists collecting over 500,000 signatures in under a month, enough to force a national vote.

But the poor voter turnout prompted Antonio Tajani, deputy PM and foreign minister, to suggest that it may be time to rethink the rules. “Probably more signatures should be required," he told state broadcaster RAI. Read more.

Vampire and Kamikaze BC drone before deployment to the frontline in Ukraine [Photo by Jose Colon/Anadolu via Getty Images]

Renault confirmed on Sunday that it had been approached by France’s defence ministry to set up drone production in Ukraine, but said it had yet to make a decision. Read more.

Spain and France are looking to introduce outdoor smoking bans to curb the deadly habit among young people, but plan could end up fizzling out. Read more.

NATO countries need to dramatically expand air and missile defence capabilities, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said in a speech in London on Monday afternoon. Read more.

GERMANY

Trial begins on whether far-right magazine Compact will be banned.
The case, brought by Germany’s Interior Ministry, is seen as a major test of how far the state can go in curbing extremism without infringing on press freedoms.

POLAND

Election protests grow amid fraud claims.
Poland’s national election body is investigating potential vote counting irregularities following this month’s presidential runoff. Read more.

SLOVAKIA

Czech FM heads to Bratislava amid deepening rift.
Czech Foreign Minister Jan Lipavský is in Bratislava in an effort to stabilise Czech-Slovak relations, which have deteriorated in recent months over foreign policy differences and escalating political tensions. Read more.

Energy drink: Spotted having a drink at Le Cocq bar in Ixelles over the long weekend: Energy Commissioner Dan Jørgensen.

Seen something amusing, interesting, or downright strange in Brussels? Send tips.

European Sustainable Energy Week (EUSEW) begins in Brussels, bringing together public authorities, private companies, NGOs, and consumers. This year’s agenda highlights include the Clean Industrial Deal, energy efficiency, emerging security threats, and more;

The European Defence & Security Summit 2025 features panels today on the White Paper for European Defence, the future of NATO–EU partnership, industrial readiness, and more;

Commission President Ursula von der Leyen meets with India’s Minister of External Affairs, Subrahmanyam Jaishankar;

The 3rd United Nations Ocean Conference (UNOC3) takes place from 9–13 June 2025 in Nice, France, focusing on ten action panels under the overarching theme “Accelerating action and mobilising all actors to conserve and sustainably use the ocean”;

The Visegrad 4 Business Conference 2025 opens in Bratislava, Slovakia. Agenda highlights include “V4 & the USA: Trade Relations – Who Wins?”, “The Automotive Sector at the Crossroads”, and more;

Reporters: Aneta Zachová, Aleksandra Krzysztoszek, Alessia Peretti.

Editors: Vince Chadwick and Sofia Mandilara.

Correction: Friday’s online edition of The Capitals has been updated to clarify that it was Advocate General Tamara Ćapeta who stated that the Hungarian LGBTI law violates the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights.

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