Plus, election-related events to mark on your calendar.
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Brookings Brief

August 10, 2024

People walk near UN peacekeeper vehicles in Marjayoun, near the border with Israel, in southern Lebanon
Echoes of 2006: Israel, Hezbollah, and the potential for regional war

 

“Escalatory cycles are hard to control in situations such as today’s, where no precedents exist and previous unwritten rules of the game—such as tit-for-tat geographically limited and low-casualty strikes between Hezbollah and Israel—have been discarded.”

 

The post-October 7 escalatory cycle of violence between Israel and Hezbollah invokes comparisons to the 34-day Israel-Hezbollah war of 2006. Jeffrey Feltman explains why this example is grossly inadequate to describe the current peril.

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Election-related events to mark on your calendar

 

Political polling and its challenges. On August 12, pollsters Amy Walter and David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report join Camille Busette in conversation on election polling and what it can indicate about the November elections. 

 

Democrats convene in Chicago. After the Democratic National Convention concludes, tune in for a discussion on August 26 with Elaine Kamarck, Gabriel R. Sanchez, E.J. Dionne, Jr., and Doyle McManus about the major takeaways.

 

Addressing challenges at the southern border. How the next U.S. administration and Congress manage relations with new leadership in Mexico will affect border security, immigration policies, trade and energy relations, and counter-narcotics and anti-crime cooperation. On August 27, Vanda Felbab-Brown, Michael Kagan, Rachel Torres, John Tuman, Amber Dixon will explore the future of U.S.-Mexico relations as a part of our Election ’24 initiative.

 
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