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| Wednesday, November 9, 2022 |
| Tom Brady! And it says a lot about how this season has gone that Brady is even in the Start 'Em & Sit 'Em conversation. |
| Last season, Brady had 12 games out of 17 with at least 20 points in six-point-per-pass-TD scoring; he averaged 27.1 per game en route to finishing as the QB2. This season, he's at just 17.3 points per game, his worst average since 2006, and he's topped 20 points just one time in nine games. |
| Brady has just one game with multiple touchdowns all season, but the thing is ... it's still Tom Brady. He still has Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Do you really want to bet on him having a 2.5% touchdown rate the rest of the way? History tells us that betting against Brady generally doesn't work out, and there's going to be a breakout game at some point. |
| Why not against the Seahawks, who rank in the bottom half of the league in most pass defense stats? The Seahawks have been a lot better than most expected this season, but that actually works in Brady's favor -- they're good enough on offense that the Buccaneers are probably going to have to pass a ton if they want to win. This very much has the potential to turn into a shootout if Brady and the Bucs can finally start to hold up their end of the bargain. |
| That's no guarantee, obviously, but Brady is going to figure it out at some point, and leaving him on your bench when he does isn't going to feel great. You can read about why Jamey thinks Brady will turn it around this week in his Start 'Em & Sit 'Em column for Week 10. Tomorrow morning, we'll have Dave Richard's Start and Sit picks for Week 10 along with updates on all the injuries you need to know about plus a preview of Thursday Night Football. But for now, here's who Jamey is starting and sitting this week: |
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| Quarterback Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Tua Tagovailoa and Justin Fields |
| "Tagovailoa is on fire coming into Week 10 with consecutive games of 30 Fantasy points. He should stay hot this week against the Browns, even though Cleveland has allowed just two quarterbacks to score more than 19 Fantasy points this season. In his past two outings against Detroit and Chicago, Tagovailoa has attempted at least 30 passes and connected for at least 300 yards and three touchdowns. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle look unstoppable, and Tagovailoa looks in complete command of Mike McDaniel's offense. Tagovailoa once again has top-five upside in Week 10." |
| Sit 'Em: Aaron Rodgers and Justin Herbert |
| "If you were to say prior to Week 9 at Atlanta that Herbert would attempt 43 passes with 30 completions against that secondary then he should have had a huge outing, even without Keenan Allen (hamstring) and Mike Williams (ankle). But he only passed for 245 yards, one touchdown and one interception and ran for 3 yards, and he's now scored 16 Fantasy points or less in three of his past four games. It will be hard to trust Herbert at San Francisco if Allen and Williams remain out, and the 49ers allow an average of just 15.0 Fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. Patrick Mahomes in Week 7 and Marcus Mariota, who had 11 Fantasy points with his rushing stats in Week 6, are the lone quarterbacks with more than 19 points against San Francisco this year." |
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| Running Back Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Cordarrelle Patterson and David Montgomery |
| "The setup for Patterson is great against Carolina this week. It's a short week for the Panthers after their defense spent nearly 40 minutes on the field against the Bengals in Week 9. In that game against Cincinnati, Carolina couldn't stop Joe Mixon, who had 22 carries for 153 yards and four touchdowns, along with four catches for 58 yards and a touchdown on five targets. The Panthers have now allowed seven running backs to score at least 13 PPR points this season, and Patterson just scored 17 PPR points against the Chargers in Week 9 in his return from a four-game absence with a knee injury. Patterson has played five games this season, and he has a touchdown in four of them. He also scored a touchdown in both meetings with the Panthers last year." |
| Sit 'Em: Devin Singletary and A.J. Dillon |
| "Singletary continues to lead the Bills backfield, but we'll see what happens in Week 10 with Nyheim Hines getting more practice time following his trade from the Colts last week. Singletary has yet to rush for a touchdown and has just two games with more than 10 PPR points. The Vikings haven't allowed a running back to score in three games in a row against Miami, Arizona and Washington, and we'll see what the Buffalo offense looks like with Josh Allen (elbow) potentially at less than 100 percent. I would only use Singletary as a flex in the majority of leagues this week." |
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| Wide Receiver Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Chris Godwin and JuJu Smith-Schuster |
| "Godwin has yet to score a touchdown this season, and he just had his worst game in his past six outings in Week 9 against the Rams with seven catches for 36 yards on 10 targets. But this will be his breakout game against Seattle this week in Germany. He has four games in a row with at least 10 targets and six catches, and that volume should help him against the Seahawks. They have faced 12 receivers who have caught at least four passes against them, and all of them have scored at least 11 PPR points. Eight receivers had at least five catches against Seattle and five of them scored at least 14 PPR points. With Tom Brady as the Start of the Week, look for him to again lean heavily on Godwin and Mike Evans in this matchup, and both should be excellent against the Seahawks." |
| Sit 'Em: Adam Thielen and Michael Pittman |
| "Pittman will hopefully start to get going with quarterback Sam Ehlinger, but it's been a struggle so far with 10 catches for 75 yards and no touchdowns on 15 targets in the past two games against Washington and New England. He hasn't scored a touchdown since Week 1, and we don't know how the coaching staff under Jeff Saturday will feature Pittman. Maybe things will look great for Pittman in a productive matchup against the Raiders, who have allowed 10 receivers to score at least 12 PPR points this year. Or, Pittman could have another poor outing, and the uncertainty makes him just a No. 3 Fantasy receiver in the majority of leagues." |
| Tight End Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Dalton Schultz |
| "Schultz had his best outing since Week 1 in Week 8 against Chicago with six catches for 74 yards on seven targets. Hopefully, Schultz is over the knee injury that plagued him earlier in the year, and he now has Dak Prescott back at 100 percent. The Packers have allowed three touchdowns to tight ends in their past two games, so hopefully Schultz gets his first touchdown of the season in this matchup." |
| Sit 'Em: Robert Tonyan |
| "I thought Tonyan would play well in Week 9 at Detroit, but he let me down with just three catches for 29 yards on four targets. He's now combined for just 19 PPR points in his past three games against Washington, Buffalo and Detroit, and he only has one touchdown on the season. The Cowboys have allowed just one touchdown to a tight end all season and one to score double digits in PPR, which was Tyler Higbee in Week 5. I'm not expecting a big performance from Tonyan in this matchup." |
| DST Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Cowboys @GB |
| "The Cowboys defense gave up the most points they have allowed all season the last time we saw them against the Bears in Week 8 with 29. Still, the Cowboys DST had four sacks, a fumble recovery and a touchdown in that game. The Dallas defense has at least four sacks in six of the last seven games and at least one turnover in six of eight games. Additionally, the Packers come into this game as the 27th-best scoring offense in the NFL at 17 points per game. Green Bay is also banged up for this game, with Romeo Doubs (ankle) out and Aaron Jones (ankle) potentially limited. Aaron Rodgers has also thrown four interceptions in his past two games against Buffalo and Detroit." |
| Sit 'Em: Buccaneers vs. SEA |
| "The Seahawks offense, largely on the backs of the emergence of Kenneth Walker III and Geno Smith , comes in as the fourth-highest scoring offense in the NFL, averaging roughly 27 points per game. They have scored at least 27 points in four of their last five games. Tampa Bay hasn't recorded a turnover in five games in a row, and the Buccaneers have been at three sacks or less in three of the past four games. I'm not sure the Buccaneers DST qualifies as a must-start Fantasy option for this week." |
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