December 26, 2017 | "Irreverent, but never irrelevant" | | | John Lothian Publisher John Lothian News | |
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Hits & Takes JLN Staff The JLN Staff is working from home this week, with the exception being Wednesday, when we will convene in our CBOT Building offices to map out our January schedule.~JJL Jim Kharouf has officially stepped down as CEO of John J. Lothian & Company, Inc.~JJL Want some fun map facts? The cartographic debate over the distortion of Africa came up again this week - The Economist has the details. Let's just say when it comes to map making, there are a number of ways to skin a cat.~SD The A Wealth of Common Sense blog has its 2017 Financial Market awards out for things like Best Fight (Asness vs. Arnott), Worst Market Narrative (Trump will tank the market) and Best Headline (Bitcoin Scam: Man Arrested After Making Over $1 Million Selling Chuck E. Cheese Tokens As "Bitcoins"). ~SD My wife gave me a book of "Wit and Wisecracks" by Mark Twain for Christmas. The first entry is "Let us be thankful for the fools. But for them the rest of us could not succeed." Well said! ~JJL Last week's installment of The Spread, JLN's recap of notable options news, can be found here.~SD ++++ A Step-by-Step Guide to Boosting Work Morale; A factory boss joins her employees on a strenuous set of Los Angeles stairs during lunch Jen Murphy - WSJ Some employees bond over drinks after work. Elizabeth Kaplan believes she can create a stronger connection by sharing a workout with colleagues. /goo.gl/1ZT7xd ***** Get ready for some joint exercise experiences.~JJL ++++ London Zoo reopens after fire that killed aardvark, meerkats Reuters Staff London Zoo reopened on Sunday, a day after a fire that killed an aardvark and likely four meerkats and which left staff suffering from smoke inhalation and shock. /goo.gl/Mer8z9 ***** My son Tim was very sad to hear the story of the missing meerkats, as he spent 30 minutes visiting with them in 2016 during a visit to the London Zoo on his short stopover in London on his way to Germany.~JJL ++++ The Crypto coin DopeCoin (DOPE) rose by 4.98% on December 24-25 Peter Erickson - BZ Weekly It was good day for DopeCoin (DOPE), as it jumped by $0.00576305000000001 or 4.98%, touching $0.12157302. International Cryptocoin Experts believe that DopeCoin (DOPE) is looking for the $0.133730322 goal. According to 9 analysts could reach $0.318292510169517. The highest price was $0.12857102 and lowest of $0.10785146 for December 24-25. The open was $0.11580997. It last traded at BitTrex exchange. /goo.gl/1HDGBk ****** The name of this crypto-coin says it all.~JJL ++++ Friday's Top Three Only two of our three top stories pertained to cryptocurrencies. Top of the charts was Bloomberg's Bitcoin Billionaires May Have Found a Way to Cash Out. Next we had Financial News's take on Cboe's beef with BME - Europe's largest exchange fumes over new Spanish data fees. In third was the WSJ's rundown of the crypto rout - Bitcoin Plunges 25% in 24 Hours in a Cryptocurrency Market Rout.
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Lead Stories | Who Regulates Bitcoin Trading? No U.S. Agency Has Jurisdiction; Futures regulators at the CFTC recently sounded an alarm on leveraged trading on unregulated exchanges, while the SEC cracks down on ICOs Dave Michaels and Gabriel T. Rubin - WSJ Investors are frantically trying to learn everything they can about bitcoinÂand so are regulators. /goo.gl/4NPnvx China's Bid to Dominate Oil Pricing Will Fail; Sorry, China, the oil market is very different from the one for iron ore Nathaniel Taplin - WSJ Oil markets are already among the world's most volatileÂprices can leap 3% overnight on news from Middle Eastern nations many investors couldn't pinpoint on a map. /goo.gl/KzzFTB Senate Confirms Robert Jackson, Hester Peirce to Join SEC; SEC will have its full complement of five members once the new members are sworn in Hester Peirce testified to the Senate Banking Committee at her nomination hearing in October. Dave Michaels - WSJ The Securities and Exchange Commission is on its way to a full slate of commissioners for the first time since 2015. /goo.gl/FfZxQ6 Psychics may hold the answer to Wall Street's future Kevin Dugan - NY Post If you're convinced that the "normal" techniques for calling the market just aren't cutting it anymore, you might consider the paranormal. Psychic intuition and planet-based predictions get dismissed as hopelessly flaky fare on Wall Street, but that hasn't stopped a slew of astrologers, spiritualists and old-school soothsayers from weighing in on what 2018 has in store for investors. /goo.gl/K1bUqC China to Overtake U.S. Economy by 2032 as Asian Might Builds Fergal O'Brien - Bloomberg CEBR publishes World Economic League Table and predictions; Report sees India overtaking both U.K., France next year The growing importance of Asia's major economies will continue in 2018 and beyond, according to a league table that sees the region dominating in terms of size in just over a decade. /goo.gl/GPrdSE Goodbye, George Bailey: Decline of Rural Lending Crimps Small-Town Business; Banks are closing branches and paring credit in rural America, focusing instead on booming urban markets; it's 'like a death sentence' Ruth Simon and Coulter Jones - The Wall Street Journal Danielle Baker wanted a $324,000 loan last year to expand the peanut-processing business she ran from the family farm. She had a longstanding relationship with the Roxobel branch of Southern Bank, and she thought Southern would help fund the peanut operation she had spun off, too. /goo.gl/SR2CXQ Israel regulator seeks to ban bitcoin firms from stock exchange Steven Scheer - Reuters Israel's markets regulator will propose regulation to ban companies based on bitcoin and other digital currencies from trading on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange, he said on Monday. /goo.gl/SXUAUV Bitcoin rises 10 percent, recovers from last week's brutal selloff Vidya Ranganathan, Lisa Twaronite - Reuters Bitcoin extended its recovery in holiday-thinned trading on Tuesday, rising 10 percent to be up more than a third from last week's lows of below $12,000. /goo.gl/2tZqM7 The digitalisation of everything: How the US economy is going digital at hyper speed Mark Muro and Sifan Liu - London School of Economics and Politics Software is eating the world, goes the quip. So rapid are the developments, in fact, that while the "digitalisation of everything" has become a hallmark of tech's promise of individual and business empowerment so has it begun to prompt anxiety, including among workers who worry about their future in a world of brilliant machines. And yet, for all the evidence that big changes are underway, surprisingly little data exists to quantify the spread of digital adoption across industries and into local workplaces, labor markets, and regions. In the absence of such information, the digitalisation trend, as all-encompassing as it obviously is, remains diffuse and hard to pin down. /goo.gl/xno3Xj
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Exchanges, OTC & Clearing | Top news from exchanges, clearing, settlement and trade execution facilities | Cboe Floods The SEC With Bitcoin ETF Petitions Julio Gil-Pulgar - Bitocoinist.com The Chicago Board Options Exchange (Cboe) has been successfully trading Bitcoin futures since December 10, 2017. As a result, Cboe is now trying to expand its participation in the cryptocurrency business. In effect, Cboe has just petitioned the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch six Bitcoin-based exchanged traded funds (ETFs). /goo.gl/ig1Cbg Suspension of the all derivatives night session trading on the business day preceding the launch date of the next derivatives clearing system OSE The night session for all derivatives trading on February 9, 2018 (the trading day of February 13, 2018), which is a business day preceding the launch date of the next derivatives clearing system at Japan Securities Clearing Corporation, will not be held at OSE. /goo.gl/tmMU5n Shenzhen Stock Exchange Sina Big Data 100 Index Released Mondovisione On 22th December, 2017, SZSE Sina Big Data 100 Index (Abbreviation: Sina 100, Code: 399297) was released on Shenzhen Stock Exchange ("SZSE"). /goo.gl/uHW7fw
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Fintech | A roundup of today's market tech news and a look at tomorrow's disruptors | What Is Bitcoin Good For?; Perhaps it's a payment system. If so, it's inferior to Visa and grossly overvalued. Megan McArdle - Bloomberg What is bitcoin good for? This may be a question you've asked yourself, looking at the recent run-up in prices. Why, exactly, would you want to pay $18,000 and change to get your hands on one? /goo.gl/RKZdCL American Express Is Getting Into Blockchain-Based Payments With Ripple Reuters via Fortune American Express has introduced instant blockchain-based payments using Ripple, a fintech startup, for U.S. corporate customers sending funds to U.K.-based businesses that bank with Santander U.K., the companies said on Thursday. /goo.gl/sPd7Ai Chip Makers Aren't Stacking Bets on Cryptocurrencies; Nvidia, AMD keep crypto-mining demand out of their forecasts Dan Gallagher - WSJ Cryptocurrencies have been a winning bet this year, but the chip makers who play a key role in the market are still playing their hands very cautiously. /goo.gl/nBp3Yy
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Politics | An overview of politics as it relates to the financial markets | FBI investigating Cyprus bank with Russian ties: report Julia Manchester - The Hill The FBI is probing a defunct bank in Cyprus that had been used by affluent Russians and has been accused by the U.S of money laundering, The Guardian reported on Sunday. /goo.gl/PKBJSA Games Companies Play, Tax-Cut Edition; By timing expenditures, companies can boost advantage of sudden change in corporate taxes, but they will wreak havoc on economic and profit statistics Spencer Jakab - WSJ Congratulations, chief executive of Major Corporation. After years of lobbying, Washington has passed the tax cut of your dreams. /goo.gl/9yJzM6 We Should Feed The Poor Children Of The World. It's Good Foreign Policy William Lambers - Newsweek If the Grinch who stole Christmas were president of the United States, you might expect him to take food away from hungry children. You would not expect the real president to do that. /goo.gl/3Xc8qY Bitcoin, blockchain and the fight against poverty; 'An economist believes that the key to fighting extreme poverty is to focus on property rights' Gillian Tett - FT It is nearly four decades since Sendero Luminoso, the brutal "Shining Path" Communist rebellion movement, started its campaign of bombings, assassinations and other terrorist attacks in Peru that went on until the 1990s. I first heard about it from a close friend who was working on an agricultural development project in the Andes when Shining Path swept into his remote valley, executing aid workers and government officials. /goo.gl/oEt9Em The South Will Rise Again Under GOP Tax Plan; Florida and Texas will become the new centers of finance and innovation. Jared Dillian - Bloomberg Loading up the wagon train and heading south. Photographer: David Knox It's hard to find controlled experiments in finance. But they exist. East and West Germany, North and South Korea, Chile and Venezuela. In crossing a border, you can immediately see the difference in economic output and financial well-being from one country to the next, based on variations in tax and regulatory policy. /goo.gl/f6F2tb
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Regulation & Enforcement | For more regulatory, visit MarketsReformWiki, our website focused on current market reform efforts. | Companies have up to a year for new U.S. tax bill reporting: SEC Reuters Staff U.S. financial regulators said on Friday that because the new tax bill could make timely financial reporting difficult, public companies can make reasonable estimates when uncertain of the impact of the new tax law in financial reports, and will have up to a year to report final numbers. /goo.gl/ss5nws Regulators Propose Rollbacks to Offshore Drilling Safety Measures; BSEE says revisions could save industry $900 million; proposal includes changing enforcement of new minimum standard for 'drilling margin' Ted Mann - WSJ Regulators in the Trump administration are proposing to roll back safety measures put in place after the 2010 Deepwater Horizon oil spill, a revision that would reduce the role of government in offshore oil production and return more responsibility to private companies. /goo.gl/j9u6p5 ESMA will be closed as from 23 December and will re-open on 3 January 2018. ESMA Until then we would like to extend to you our greetings for the season and wish you a very happy New Year! /goo.gl/FAZjZL
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Investing & Trading | Today's top stories from equities, indices and FICC (fixed income, currencies and commodities) | What's the true value of bitcoin? A Morgan Stanley analyst says it may be zero Eric Brackett - Digital Trends According to Coindesk, bitcoin is currently worth about $13,000, but Business Insider reports that Morgan Stanley's James Faucette suggest the true value of bitcoin might be zero. /goo.gl/3Xet4T William Agee, '70s C.E.O. Whose Star Was Dimmed, Dies at 79 Steve Lohr - NY Times William Agee was 38 and a rising corporate star in 1976 when the Bendix Corporation, a large auto parts maker, made him one of the youngest chief executives of a major American company. /goo.gl/BkJb66 Why much of academic business research remains irrelevant for business Mattia Fosci and Rob Johnson - London School of Economics and Politics The idea that academia can and should play a more central role in society is hardly new - but it continues to rise up the agenda. A year ago, the UK government created a £4.7 billion Industrial Strategy Challenge Fund (ISCF) to support research and innovation in priority sectors, as part of a national push to increase research, development and commercialisation activities across the UK's innovation system. With the industrial strategy white paper expected this month, the question of what role academia can play in the race to innovate has regained relevance. So far, the ISCF has pinned most of its hopes on the contribution of high-tech manufacturing and priority technologies, like robotics and artificial intelligence. The role of services, wider challenges of productivity, and inclusive growth - and the social, behavioural and management sciences that are so crucial to addressing these - is less clear. /goo.gl/fx3CAv Is Bitcoin Back? Cryptocurrency Passes $15,000 as Rebound Begins Tugce Ozsoy - Bloomberg Largest digital token poised to stem losses after 5-day drop; El-Erian: Question now is whether correction was 'healthy' Bitcoin rallied past $15,000 on Tuesday as traders of the world's biggest digital currency sought to draw a line under its roller coaster five-day slump. /goo.gl/nm1jFE Opinion: Heed Warren Buffett's warning: bitcoin is pure FOMO Mitch Tuchman - MarketWatch Cryptocurrency mania rests on greater fools To the surprise of nobody, billionaire investor Warren Buffett isn't interested in bitcoin, the electronic currency that has zoomed higher in value over the past few weeks. /goo.gl/XHMH99 When the bitcoin craze becomes a panic Jeff Spross - The Week It had to happen sooner or later. Digital cryptocurrencies have been on a rocket ride in 2017. The most famous, bitcoin, rose from under $1,000 at the start of the year to $5,000 in October. Then it blasted off to nearly $20,000 per bitcoin by mid-December. Other cryptocurrencies were carried along by the craze. /goo.gl/Kj83jC Long Island Iced Tea's blockchain pivot is the height of mania; The cryptocurrency bubble stirs memories of the dotcom boom Andrew Hill - FT "Pivot" is a term regularly abused by entrepreneurs, as they cast wildly about for new ways to spend their investors' money. /goo.gl/U3UUiJ
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Banks, Brokers & Managed Funds | The latest from banks, brokers, hedge funds and managed futures | Hedge funds to cash in if shops come up short; Investors increase bets against retailers hit by weak Christmas Alex Ralph - The Times Hedge funds are poised to profit from any weak post-Christmas trading updates from high-street retailers, which account for half of the top ten most shorted stocks on the London Stock Exchange. /goo.gl/n6rqVw Steven Cohen Plans a New Hedge Fund. Investors Are Wary. Matthew Goldstein - NY Times Steven A. Cohen, the billionaire investor whose career was nearly derailed by a government crackdown on insider trading, is days away from once again being able to manage other people's money. /goo.gl/M57qhx
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Regions | Stories of local interest from the Americas, EMEA and Asia-Pacific regions | Hold off on praising China's new carbon-pricing market; China's "cap" would transform 30 percent of all global emissions. But will it really be effective? Eric Holthaus, Grist - Salon This week, China announced it has launched a nationwide carbon-trading market, with the intent of slowing down its growing climate footprint and capping its emissions as soon as possible. /goo.gl/DnvupE Don't Expect Plain Sailing For Emerging Markets in 2018; The asset class had a terrific year in 2017, but investors shouldn't overlook lurking risks for next year Anjani Trivedi - WSJ Emerging markets had a stellar 2017 and investors are increasingly confident about the future. Amid the euphoria, there are reminders about how quickly these markets can turn bad. /goo.gl/yPxuiw Using Billions in Government Cash, Mexico Controls News Media Leer en español Azam Ahmed - NY Times Running a newspaper, radio station or television outlet in Mexico usually means relying on a single, powerful client that spends exorbitant sums on advertising with a simple warning: "I do not pay you to criticize me." That client is the government of Mexico. /goo.gl/qMd2DW Russia's FinMin: crypto FX should only be traded by professionals Reuters Staff Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said on Monday that cryptocurrencies should be traded only by professional investors, not in the mainstream. /goo.gl/3syiNv Russia's Putin calls for Web activities of some firms to be monitored Reuters Staff President Vladimir Putin said on Monday the Russian authorities should monitor the activity of "some companies" on social media during next year's presidential election and assess the extent of their involvement in domestic politics. /goo.gl/ApFQZi Japan's households open their wallets, BOJ seen keeping stimulus Leika Kihara - Reuters Japan's households spent more than expected in November while consumer inflation ticked up and the jobless rate hit a fresh 24-year low, offering the central bank some hope an economic recovery will drive up inflation to its 2 percent target. /goo.gl/tQUbhx Nigeria Says It's Solving Issue That Led to Christmas Gas Queues Sophie Mongalvy and Mustapha Muhammad - Bloomberg Vice President visits filling stations on Christmas Eve; Motorists in Kano say buying gas 50% higher than capped price Nigerian Vice President Yemi Osinbajo made a surprise Christmas Eve visit to petrol stations in the commercial hub Lagos, where motorists had been queuing for hours as the nation grappled with a fuel crisis. /goo.gl/mQ5u7Q Vietnam army reveals 10,000-strong cyber warfare unit; Communist party tackles 'wrong views' as growing numbers of citizens go online John Reed in Bangkok - FT Vietnam has revealed its recruitment of more than 10,000 people to a cyber warfare unit as it seeks to battle "wrong" views being spread online. /goo.gl/HwU4fE
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Brexit | Financials stories regarding the decision of the United Kingdom to leave the European Union | I feared losing Brexit vote, admits Osborne Lucy Fisher - City AM George Osborne, a key Remain campaigner, has said that he was against the idea of holding a Brexit referendum and that he became increasingly pessimistic about winning in the weeks leading up to the vote. /goo.gl/qjhxgc
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