🔵 Democrats may have "too many" seats in the Maine Senate. ◉ The Senate was the Maine chamber that stood out in an analysis posted Thursday by the University of Virginia's Center for Politics that discussed the Republican "excess seat" advantage in legislatures across the country. One factor is gerrymandering, but it also comes down to candidates that outperform. ◉ This was different in Democratic-led Maine, however. Biden won 54.7 percent of votes in the state, but Democrats have 22 of the 35 Senate seats. It means that they have three seats more than they are expected to have, while the Democratic advantage in the House is almost exactly what you'd expect. ◉ Maine has one of the fairest redistricting systems in the country, requiring both parties to come to a consensus before plans are finalized. If they cannot, the maps in question would be kicked to a judge, so gerrymandering is not really a factor here. ◉ This is a double-edged sword for Democrats heading into 2024. Last year, they won districts that are tough for them on paper, including the northern Maine one held by Senate President Troy Jackson of Allagash. He is termed out in 2024, and these figures suggest that Democrats should lose seats. |
|