2 Straight Days of Gains?! Not only have bonds managed to pull off a feat rarely seen in recent memory (back to back days of solid gains), but the total drop in yields is the biggest since August 2024. Today's improvement wasn't nearly as big as yesterday's CPI-driven rally, but it would have been very strange if it had been. The data and events on tap didn't have the street cred to drive such craziness. Modestly weaker retail sales helped yields level off after overnight weakness, but comments from Fed's Waller and Treasury Secretary nominee Bessent accounted for most of the day's downward movement in yields. Econ Data / EventsRetail Sales0.4 vs 0.6 f'cast, 0.7 prev Retail Sales excluding autos0.4 vs 0.4 f'cast, 0.2 prev Jobless Claims217k vs 210k f'cast, 201k prev Continued Claims1.859m vs 1.870m f'cast, 1.867m prev Philly Fed Index44.3 vs -5 f'cast, -16.4 prev Market Movement Recap10:01 AM Slightly weaker overnight with a bit of a recovery after the data. MBS down only 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up 1.8bps at 4.671 11:53 AM Additional gains after Waller comments and Bessent confirmation comments. 10yr down 4.2bps at 4.611. MBS up a quarter point. 02:57 PM MBS up 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr down 4.4bps at 4.608
MBS Commentary | 2 Straight Days of Gains?! | 2 Straight Days of Gains?! Not only have bonds managed to pull off a feat rarely seen in recent memory (back to back days of solid gains), but the total drop in yields is the biggest since August 2024. ... (read more) |
| Mortgage Rate Watch | Mortgage Rates Back Down to Lowest Levels in 2 Weeks | After having a great day yesterday, mortgage rates were able to add another "good" day today. The net effect brings the average lender's top tier 30yr fixed rate back down to levels last seen on January 2nd, exactly 2 weeks ago. Ye... (read more) |
| | 30 Yr. Fixed Rate | 7.07% -0.06% |
| Rate | Change | Points |
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Mortgage News Daily | 30 Yr. Fixed | 7.07% | -0.06 | 0.00 | 15 Yr. Fixed | 6.48% | -0.04 | 0.00 | 30 Yr. FHA | 6.48% | -0.07 | 0.00 | 30 Yr. Jumbo | 7.35% | -0.05 | 0.00 | 7/6 SOFR ARM | 6.98% | -0.07 | 0.00 | 30 Yr. VA | 6.50% | -0.08 | 0.00 | Updates Daily - Last Update: 1/16 | |
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15 Yr. Fixed Rate | 6.48% -0.04% |
| Rate | Change | Points |
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Freddie Mac | 30 Yr. Fixed | 7.04% | +0.11 | 0.00 | 15 Yr. Fixed | 6.27% | +0.13 | 0.00 | Updates Weekly - Last Update: 1/16 | Rate | Change | Points |
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Mortgage Bankers Assoc. | 30 Yr. Fixed | 6.75% | 0.00 | 0.66 | 15 Yr. Fixed | 6.15% | 0.00 | 0.71 | 30 Yr. Jumbo | 6.86% | 0.00 | 0.61 | Updates Weekly - Last Update: 12/25 | |
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| Price / Yield | Change |
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MBS | UMBS 5.5 | 98.53 | +0.31 | UMBS 6.0 | 100.45 | +0.23 | GNMA 5.5 | 99.07 | +0.21 | GNMA 6.0 | 100.64 | +0.10 | Pricing as of: 1/16 5:31PM EST | |
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10 Year US Treasury | 4.6135 -0.0396 |
| Price / Yield | Change |
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US Treasury | 2 YR Treasury | 4.239 | -0.018 | 5 YR Treasury | 4.399 | -0.046 | 7 YR Treasury | 4.508 | -0.048 | 10 YR Treasury | 4.614 | -0.040 | 30 YR Treasury | 4.853 | -0.020 | Pricing as of: 1/16 5:31PM EST | |
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