(Un)Surprising Reversal After Initial Weakness The sharp overnight losses in stocks and bonds were consistent with a market that didn't have time to process the sort of knee-jerk reaction one would expect from headlines like Moody's US credit rating downgrade. Most of the rest of the domestic session was consistent with the type of reversal one might expect after a knee-jerk reaction to news that wasn't really that newsworthy. As has been exhaustively covered, 2 of the other big 3 ratings agencies had long since taken the US credit rating down a peg, thus limiting the true significance of Friday's news. Bonds ended the day weaker than they were at 3pm last Friday (before the Moody's news), but slightly stronger vs the 5pm levels (15 minutes after the Moody's news). Market Movement Recap08:36 AM Sharply weaker overnight as Moody's reaction extends overseas.  MBS down 3/8ths and 10yr up 7.3bps at 4.552 10:48 AM Making progress after sellers got their fill.  MBS down only an eighth and 10yr up only 2bps at 4.5 02:01 PM Now moving into positive territory with MBS up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr roughly unchanged at 4.481
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May 19, 2025
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MBS Commentary
(Un)Surprising Reversal After Initial Weakness The sharp overnight losses in stocks and bonds were consistent with a market that didn't have time to process the sort of knee-jerk reaction one would expect fro... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
Mortgage rates jumped sharply over the weekend as financial markets reacted to Moody's credit rating downgrade of the U.S.  News of the downgrade broke with only minutes left in Friday's market/business day, so most of the response played out wh... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
People who don’t attend the National Secondary here in Manhattan wonder what happens behind the scenes. Here you go. We had the MCT elevator failure last night, inconveniencing a carload of mortgage folks between floors. There is definitely an older ... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries