Decent Recovery as Sentiment Swoons Ahead of Jobs Report Bonds have made it to Friday's jobs report without a meaningful extension of the corrective sell-off that began 2 days ago. That wasn't a given in the middle of today's trading session. Lutnick's comments on tariff exemptions fueled a risk-on move (buy stocks, sell bonds) in the late AM hours, but it didn't last long. Stocks reversed course in the PM hours and pulled bonds along for the ride.  MBS were unchanged to a hair stronger and 10yr yields were able to make it fairly close to unchanged by the 3pm close. Econ Data / EventsJobless Claims 221k vs 235k f'cast, 242k prev Market Movement Recap08:39 AM Losing some ground after Jobless Claims.  MBS back to unchanged on the day and 10yr up 1.1bps at 4.288 10:41 AM Losing more ground after Lutnick's comments on USMCA tariff delays.  MBS down 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr up 6.1bps at 4.337 01:28 PM Bouncing back over the past 2 hours as stocks swoon again.  MBS down only 1 tick (.03) on the day at 10yr up 1.6bps at 4.293 03:24 PM fairly flat in the PM hours.  Stocks and bonds are moving together as Trump speaks.  MBS up 1 tick and 10yr yields only half a bp higher at 4.281
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March 6, 2025
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MBS Commentary
Decent Recovery as Sentiment Swoons Ahead of Jobs Report Bonds have made it to Friday's jobs report without a meaningful extension of the corrective sell-off that began 2 days ago. That wasn't a given in the ... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
You may see conflicting news about mortgage rates today, depending on where you look. Weekly surveys, such as Freddie Mac's, are showing a fairly big drop from last week. That was indeed the case over the 5 business days of the weekly survey, but tha... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
“I recently saw a woman at Walmart with March Madness teeth... She was down to the final four.” Risk-free, prepayment-free Treasury rates have approached, or gone below, four percent as the expectations have grown for a slowing U.S. economy (it doesn... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries