10yr Auction to The Rescue Today's 10yr Treasury auction was the only relevant calendar event in terms of potential market movement and it lived up to its billing. Unlike the set-up to many auctions, there was no meaningful weakness in bonds ahead of the 1pm cut-off. The results themselves were decidedly strong and the immediacy of the market reaction reflected that. Yields dropped 4bps more or less instantly, and MBS ultimately added another eighth of a point of improvement to the eighth that was already in play before the auction. From here, attention turns to Wednesday's Fed announcement, specifically for Powell's press conference (because there's zero chance of a rate cut at this meeting).  Econ Data / EventsTrade Gap-140.50b vs -137b f'cast, -123.20b prev Market Movement Recap09:25 AM Initially weaker overnight, then steadily stronger into AM hours.  MBS unchanged and 10yr nearly unchanged at 4.344 01:04 PM Moving into positive territory after 10yr auction (which came in about 1.2bps below expectations). 10yr yield now down 2.1bps on the day at 4.326 and MBS up nearly an eighth of a point. 02:25 PM Off the best levels, but still stronger.  MBS up 6 ticks (.19).  10yr down 2.5bps at 4.321 03:59 PM Back in rally mode.  MBS up a quarter point and 10yr down 4.2bps at 4.303
MND logo
May 6, 2025
Download our Mobile App:
Download from Google Play
Download from Apple App Store
View the QR Code
Download our Mobile App:
Download from Google Play
Download from Apple App Store
MBS Commentary
10yr Auction to The Rescue Today's 10yr Treasury auction was the only relevant calendar event in terms of potential market movement and it lived up to its billing. Unlike the set-up to many auctions, there wa... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
Mortgage rates were unchanged for the average lender this morning, thanks to a modest improvement in the bond market overnight.  Rates were on course to remain mostly flat until the afternoon's scheduled 10yr Treasury auction.  The market's... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
This is the month of the MBA’s National Secondary in Manhattan. For some trivia, the nickname "The Big Apple" originated in the 1920s in reference to the prizes (or "big apples") rewarded at the many racing courses in and around New York City. Howeve... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries