Bonds Dial Back Ahead of Big Jobs Report It was a fairly interesting day for bonds, relative to the calendar of scheduled events.  Domestic econ data was unimportant and markets traded accordingly from 8:30-8:45am. At that point, the European Central Bank announcement hit the wires and the takeaway was fairly hawkish, despite the rate cut.  At the same time, newswires made the rounds regarding a Trump/Xi phone call that could lead to future meetings and improved trade relations--a narrative that's generally produced "risk-on" results for stocks and bonds. Then in the afternoon, stocks pulled back as Trump and Musk exchanged words on social media (TSLA down about 16% on the day). Lastly, we could also be seeing both sides of the market moving to cash to some extent ahead of the jobs report. Either way, the willingness to react to data so far this week means Friday's jobs data should be treated with just as much respect as normal. Econ Data / EventsJobless Claims 247k vs 235k f'cast, 239k prev Market Movement Recap08:42 AM Slightly stronger overnight and little-changed after econ data.  MBS up an eighth and 10yr down 3bps at 4.326 09:26 AM Losing ground after ECB announcement.  MBS down 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up half a bp at 4.36
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June 5, 2025
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MBS Commentary
Bonds Dial Back Ahead of Big Jobs Report It was a fairly interesting day for bonds, relative to the calendar of scheduled events.  Domestic econ data was unimportant and markets traded accordingly from 8... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
Mortgage rates began the day perfectly in line with yesterday's latest levels for the average lender. By the afternoon, the underlying bond market had lost enough ground that a handful of lenders were forced to issue mid-day reprices thus taking the ... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
The last time I was in Florida I saw a bumper sticker that said, “I thought growing old would take longer.” This weekend I return to the Sunshine State (the MBAF’s Eastern Secondary is coming up), and I mention this because the state is the epicenter... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries