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A Special Research Report

Political Uncertainty Weighs in on Investor Sentiment

Caution creeping into the commercial real estate market even as property fundamentals remain strong.

Exclusive research results from the third quarter NREI / Marcus & Millichap Investor Sentiment Survey show a gradual cooling trend on investor sentiment. The investor sentiment index edged slightly lower to 150 as compared to 153 in fourth quarter. The sentiment index has been tapering since peaking at 179 in 2014 [Figure 1].

Survey Methodology
National Real Estate Investor’s research unit and Marcus & Millichap emailed invitations to participate in this online survey to public and private investors and developers of commercial real estate. Recipients of the survey included Marcus & Millichap clients as well as subscribers of NREI selected from commercial real estate investor, pension fund, and developer business subscribers who provided their email addresses.

The survey was conducted in late June with 616 completed surveys received. Survey respondents represent a broad cross-section of industry respondents that include private investors, developers, advisors, lenders and REITs among others. The largest percentage of respondents are private investors at 47 percent.

Respondents are invested in a variety of property types with a majority of 63 percent invested in apartments. On average, respondents have $34.7 million invested in commercial and/or multifamily property.

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