One Step Closer to a Bitcoin ETF

November 19, 2020

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Top shelf

Deutsche Bank analysts said customers increasingly prefer bitcoin over gold as their hedge of choice. A markets surveillance tool could meet the SEC's standards to allow a bitcoin ETF. FATF thinks existing financial precautions may be unfit for the rising world of DeFi.

Bitcoin ETF
Solidus Labs has developed a market surveillance tool it says could become a cornerstone to a bitcoin ETF ... one day. For years, the SEC has rejected every bitcoin ETF proposal it has seen due to concerns the market is too small to properly monitor, locking out a class of investors that primarily use traditional investment platforms. Solidus’ new tool hopes to solve this issue, by collecting data from a number of crypto service providers and acting as a sort of intermediary for the information, thereby presenting a more complete view of the bitcoin market.

Bitcoin > gold
Deutsche Bank analysts said customers increasingly prefer bitcoin over gold as a store-of-value investment. “There seems to be an increasing demand to use bitcoin where gold used to be used to hedge dollar risk, inflation, and other things,” said Jim Reid, managing director, head of global fundamental credit strategy, as quoted by ZeroHedge. Bitcoin is up 144% on the year, and gold 22%.

Cash adjacent
A group of Japanese companies has said it will develop and test a private digital currency that would work alongside cash. Reuters reported Thursday that about 30 firms from sectors such as telecoms, utilities and retail will carry out the trials in 2021. The digital yen would be built on a common settlement platform and issued by banks during the trials, later possibly being issued by other entities. “We don’t want to create another silo-type platform. What we want to do is to create a framework that can make various platforms mutually compatible,” Hiromi Yamaoka, chair of the group and formerly an executive at the Bank of Japan, told Reuters.

FATF chance?
The Financial Action Task Force (FATF) needs an entirely new approach when it comes to policing crypto, especially related to watchdog’s “Travel Rule” mandates, according to FATF’s Sian Jones. Speaking at the second annual V20 Virtual Asset Service Providers Summit, Jones said, “The tried and tested methods work, after a fashion, in the traditional world of money. Arguably, they can be made to sort of fit the intermediated crypto world. They do not necessarily fit a DeFi world where they are not fit for purpose.” Jones added that digital assets, including the emerging decentralized finance sector, are about removing intermediaries, not necessarily to avoid money laundering or terrorist financing protections.

Binance sues
Binance has taken aim at Forbes Media, and two of its reporters, in court related to a story that claimed the crypto exchange giant is engaged in regulatory arbitrage. The suit, filed in the U.S. District Court in New Jersey Wednesday, alleges harm against Binance by publishing a story last month that “contains numerous false, misleading and defamatory statements.” Notably, Binance refuted the veracity of a third party document that served the basis of many of the article’s claims. Binance, no stranger to media spats, is seeking punitive damages and for the article to be taken down.

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Quick bites

Market intel

Rumor mill

OKB, the in-house token for leading crypto derivatives exchange OKEx, rallied more than 13% Wednesday on rumors the firm’s founder, Mingxing “Star” Xu, had been released from police custody. The gains retrace part of the steep losses suffered after the token tumbled 30% following the mid-October suspension of withdrawals. After more than a month of zero completed withdrawals, Xu's rumored release could mean a return to normal for the exchange. The token has gained more than 17% this week.

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The penultimate episode of How to Value Ethereum explores the metric of gas costs. How is gas calculated? What is its unit of account? And why is it an important metric to valuing Ethereum?

Find out the answers to these questions by registering for How to Value Ethereum, episode 3, on Nov. 24.

At stake

DeFi or bust
With the meteoric rise of decentralized finance (DeFi) came a similar bump in the number of programmatic exploits. Year to date, the DeFi subsector has ballooned from under $1 billion in total value locked (TVL) to $13.7 billion, according to DeFi Pulse.

Much of this capital flowed into a handful of premier smart contracts, MakerDAO, Compound and Uniswap among the top. But it also went into smaller programs, with smaller teams.

Earlier this month, blockchain analytics firm CipherTrace found that nearly $100 million worth of crypto has been looted from a range of DeFi apps. In fact, these thefts account for nearly 40% of all crypto attacks across the entire industry.

In November alone, malicious attackers drained $2 million from Akropolis, $3.3 million from Cheese Bank, $6 million from Value Finance and $7 million from Origin Protocol.

Many of these attacks utilized a new financial technique called a flash loan, which allows users to take out uncollateralized loans from a decentralized program to leverage trades on another platform.

The frequency of flash loans in DeFi exploits have led some to believe this poorly understood tool to be the root of the issue, but now, industry experts are saying they are hardly to blame, CoinDesk’s Will Foxley reports.

“While many are trying to frame this trend as the result of flash loans, most of these exploits could have been committed by any well-capitalized actor. All a flash loan does is temporarily make anyone a well-capitalized actor,” Chainlink co-founder Sergery Nazarov said.

The real issue lies with poorly constructed smart contracts. In particular, many smaller projects rely on “in-house pricing oracles” that can lead to a discrepancy between asset prices within a dapp and the greater market: opening the opportunity to arbitrage opportunities.

In the worst cases, attackers can engineer this arbitrage opportunity by using flash loans, but the issue still lies with how a program deals with real-world, time-sensitive information.

This is important, especially as U.S., European and international watch dogs begin to notice DeFi. Including the amount of attacks, fraud and manipulation.

“When you are running [Defi] things on code and you are putting it out in the wild you are missing a step and you may want to test the code, audit the code, you may want to have some peer review of the code; to send it out live right away without those protections is risky those, the SEC’s Crypto Czar Valerie Szczepanik said at the September 18 Parallel Summit.

As several instances have shown, audits are not enough to prevent these attacks, Quantstamp CEO Richard Ma told Foxley. “Understanding the products and the business logic is much more time-consuming and important than a straight-up code review,” Ma said.

Insurance is one potential failsafe. But it will come down to teams building redundancies, checking and rechecking code, anticipating loopholes and securing their platforms.

Or else, as CipherTrace said in its report, “it is likely that DeFi will only continue to suffer from the consequences resulting from inadequate [anti money laundering protections] and security.”

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