Good morning! Today we have everything to know about what’s already been a chaotic week of earnings for names ranging from tech to finance and social media. |
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Wall Street is mixed on the AI spending-spree |
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The numbers on Big Tech companies’ balance sheets are so astronomical that any notion of “disappointment” seems absurd at this point. |
Naturally, Wall Street thinks otherwise. |
Both Meta and Microsoft — two of the biggest players in the AI arms race — reported strong quarterly earnings Wednesday evening. |
Those numbers, however, weren’t enough to quell concerns around the companies’ AI spending plans for the coming quarters. |
Shares of each company tumbled more than 3% in overnight trading. |
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Here’s the quarterly report card for Facebook parent: |
Earnings per share: $6.03, above estimates of $5.22 Revenue: $40.6 billion, above estimates of $40.2 billion |
And Microsoft’s: |
Earnings per share: $3.30, above estimates of $3.10 Revenue: $65.6 billion, above estimates of $64.57 |
Meta said it’s positioning for a “significant acceleration” in spending related to new tech and infrastructure, which will drag on profits over the next year. |
Susan Li, Meta’s chief financial officer, said the company expects full-year capital expenditures to hit $38 to $40 billion. |
Meanwhile, Microsoft’s strong cloud business and customer numbers came as its executives similarly cautioned of plenty of big spending ahead. |
“We are seeing AI drive a fundamental change in the business applications market as customers shift from legacy apps to AI first business processes,” said Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella. |
As of Wednesday’s closing price, Meta has returned more than 70% year-to-date. Microsoft has gained a still-solid 16.6%, though that does lag the S&P 500. |
Amazon and Apple will report earnings Thursday afternoon. |
Odds are, both those companies will announce bets tied to AI, too. |
Comments or feedback? Reply directly to this email or let me know on X @philrosenn. |
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Elsewhere: |
📊 The US economy keeps humming. Thanks to strong consumer spending, the first estimate for annualized third-quarter GDP came in at 2.8%, slightly cooler than expected. That’s below the 3% seen in the quarter prior, though most analysts remain upbeat. “The US economy appears to be doing just fine,” a Capital Economist economist said. (Yahoo Finance) |
👀 Ray Dalio is concerned about the election. Speaking in Saudi Arabia, the billionaire told the Future Investment Initiative conference that the post-election landscape worries him for both candidates: “The debt is concerning, the internal conflict is concerning, the external conflict is concerning and certainly the climate and the cost of the climate is concerning.” (CNBC) |
📈Crypto keeps climbing. Whether Harris or Trump take the White House, cryptocurrency looks like the winning asset heading into the next administration. Bitcoin is at all-time highs, token-based political contributions have topped $130 million this election cycle and the next batch of lawmakers will be the most crypto-friendly in history. (Barron’s) |
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Rapid-fire, earnings edition: |
Reddit stock soared 42% after securing its first profitable quarter in history (CNBC) Coinbase stock tumbled 4% as a tepid quarter of on-platform crypto trading led to weaker-than-expected quarterly earnings (Decrypt) Shares of Roku tumbled after the company shared a weak outlook for the upcoming quarter (Yahoo Finance) Starbucks missed analyst expectations on quarterly earnings and its new CEO promised to change its strategy (CNBC) MicroStrategy stock fell 10% after announcing in its earnings report plans to raise $42 billion of capital over the next three years so it can buy more bitcoin (CoinDesk) Robinhood stock tumbled 9% in after-hours trading after missing on revenue and profits for the third quarter (WSJ) Carvana easily beat earnings expectations and it raised its guidance for the year ahead (CNBC) |
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Election odds according to Kalshi, the biggest US prediction market: |
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Last thing: |
| Josh Lipsky @joshualipsky | |
| With the new US GDP Q3 data out today @ACGeoEcon wanted to once again check in on how the US compares to the rest of the G7: | |
| | 7:13 PM • Oct 30, 2024 | | |
| 16 Likes 10 Retweets | 0 Replies |
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