Your Inside Source for Options Information

July 24, 2017


Upcoming Economic Reports

A preview of what may move the market this week

TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JULY 24
9:00 AM Markit manufacturing PMI (flash) July -- 52
9:00 AM Markit services PMI (flash) July -- 54.2
10:00 AM Existing home sales June 5.58mln 5.62mln
TUESDAY, JULY 25
9:00 AM Case-Shiller US home price index May -- 5.50%
10:00 AM Consumer confidence index July 116.5 118.9
WEDNESDAY, JULY 26
10:00 AM New home sales June 615,000 610,000
2:00 PM FOMC announcement   1-1.25% 1-1.25%
THURSDAY, JULY 27
8:30 AM Weekly jobless claims 22-Jul 241,000 233,000
8:30 AM Advance trade in goods June -$65.0bln -$65.9bln
8:30 AM Durable goods orders June 4.90% -1.10%
8:30 AM Core capex orders June -- -0.20%
10:00 AM Housing vacancies Q2 -- --
FRIDAY, JULY 28
8:30 AM Gross domestic product Q2 2.80% 1.40%
8:30 AM Employment cost index Q2 0.60% 0.80%
10:00 AM UMich consumer sentiment July 93.5 93.1

 




 

Options Insider Radio Network 

Episodes you may have missed from Options Insider Radio last week

Advisors Option 57: Beware of Gamma and Flying Deltas

Posted July 21st, 2017

Options 101: Gamma: Measuring the Changes in Delta

  • What is the relationship between gamma and Delta?
  • What are the properties of gamma? What is put-call parity?
  • At the money options and gamma? Out of the money options and gamma? Time and gamma?

The Buzz: The low volatility regime continues: 7 of the 11 days in the past 20 years where VIX has been below 10% have occurred since mid-May 2017. Two studies, two different conclusion about alts & hedge funds.

Office Hours: Listener questions and comments:

Advisors Option Flash Poll. With $VIX hitting new lows and $SPX new highs, what is your financial advisor telling you about using #Options?

  • Write covered calls?
  • Buy protective puts?
  • Do Both - Use Collars
  • They Won't Touch Options

Listner Questions:

  • Question from LCB - Hey guys. You mentioned on the show that this is a challenging time to sell options due to low volatility. So does it stand that the opposite is true? Is it a good time to buy options? Particularly protective puts?
  • Question from TIM D. - How high do rates need to be before I need to worry about rho?

 

Option Block 637: Talking Earnings with Tubby

Posted July 21st, 2017

Trading Block: Earnings after the bell today:

  • Ebay - $37.19
  • Microsoft - $73.81

Earnings season is back! $MSFT & $EBAY are up next. $MSFT ATM Straddle = 3.5%. $EBAY ATM Straddle = 7% Which trade would you make?

  • Buy $MSFT Straddle 3.5%
  • Buy $EBAY Straddle 7%
  • Sell $MSFT Straddle 3.5%
  • Sell $EBAY Straddle 7%

NFLX Closed $161.70 on 7/17, traded as high as $185 (up $23) the next day.

Odd Block: Put trade in Home Depot Inc (HD) and puts roll in Spider S&P Biotech (XBI).

Strategy Block: Uncle Mike Tosaw discusses call rolls

Mail Block: Listnener questions and comments

  • Comment from Roger Barone: Please advocate for ALL AMERICANS to be able to trade foreign equity or index options! Trying to get the SEC or Financial Services Committee to do the right thing is like talking to a wall. They are both controlled by the big banks and QIBs whose monopoly they protect. Insane archaic policy pushing Americans - and their money - offshore. Info: optionproject.wordpress.com/reform. I'm gonna try to change from the inside if all else fails: barone4congress2018.com.

Around the Block/This Week in the Market:

  • July 20: Jobless Claims

 

OICs Wide World of Options 38: Panel - Options Strategy Selection: What You Should Think About Before You Trade

Posted July 21st, 2017

WWoO Show 38: Panel- Options Strategy Selection: What You Should Think About Before You Trade

This rebroadcast of OICs webinar panel discusses how experts choose their optimal options strategy and the important questions that investors and traders should consider before trading.

 

Options Playbook Radio 167: Trading Options After Hours

Posted July 20th, 2017

It's huddle time again on Options Playbook Radio. This is when Mark and Brian answer listener questions. Do you have a question that you want answered on a future episode? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com, or to the Options Insider at questions@theoptionsinsider.com.

The Bobster wants to know if options can be traded outside of U.S. trading hours.

  • Short answer: yes and no
  • Longer answer: liquidity issues, wider spreads, other nuances.
  • Should there be regular after hours?
  • Should it be limited to a number of names?
  • Index versus equity options

Nelly2 wants to know about assignment. Just so I am clear on the spread assignment thing. If I am in SPX, then I just get cash if the index closes inside my spread. But if I am in a stock, then I get the stock?

  • Cash-settled
  • Guidelines for cash-settled versus regular settled
  • Sellers and buyers rights and obligations

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Rocking Out For Kids With ALTSO

Rocktoberfest 2017 is October 5 at City Winery How did it...

Posted July 18th, 2017

Mark is joined by Mead Welles, Co-Founder, Chairman and Treasurer of A Leg to Stand On (ALTSO). Mead is also the Founder and CEO of Octagon Asset Management, LLC

They discuss:

  • What is ALTSO?
  • Rocktoberfest 2017 is October 5 at City Winery
  • How did it all start?
  • What surprises are in store for this year?
  • How do the Chicago and New York events differ?
  • Any plans for additions to the schedule?
  • New York event is October 26 at the Hard Rock Cafe in Time's Square
  • What are ALTSO's business practices?
  • How has technology helped ALTSO meet their goals?

About ALTSO: A Leg To Stand On ("ALTSO") is a non-profit organization providing free orthopedic care including prosthetic limbs, orthotic devices, mobility aids, corrective surgery and rehabilitative care to children in the developing world. Its mission is to offer children who have lost their limbs in traumatic accidents or suffer from congenital disabilities the physical capabilities to access the opportunities and self-esteem earned through education, work and mobility. The net proceeds raised at the events will benefit ALTSO's programs in Asia, Africa and Latin America. For more information on the charity or events, visit ALTSO's website at altso.org.

 

Option Block 636: Netflix Earnings with the Option Block Home Boys

Posted July 18th, 2017

Trading Block: NFLX earnings after the bell. Netflix trading around $161.19.

Options Flash Poll: Earnings season is back! $NFLX ($161.19) is currently pricing in a $13 ATM straddle (approx. 8%). What's your take?

  • $13 is WAY too Cheap
  • $13 is WAY too expensive
  • $13 is JUST RIGHT
  • I'm sitting this one out

Amazon taking on Blue Apron - filing a trademark for a competing meal-kit service

Odd Block: Puts trade in (CHRW), puts roll in Harley-Davidson (HOG), size call diagonal in STZ.

Mail Block: Listener questions and comments

Around the Block/This Week in the Market:

  • July 18: Import and Export Prices, Treasury International Capital
  • July 19: Housing Starts
  • July 20: Jobless Claims

 

Volatility Views 263: VIX Call Spreads and Tin Foil Hats

Posted July 17th, 2017

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective.

Volatility Voicemail: Listener questions and comments

Comment from Roger Barone: If they did so thru @IBKR their margin is $35,250,000. Anyone else ZERO! @IBKR SUCKS! @CBOE REFUSES to stop their MARGIN ABUSE! @SEC_News...Yes. They charge a MINIMUM OF $150 on ANY VIX SPREAD even if a long one like that. THEY TOTALLY SUCK! I told CBOE at Pinnacle but no action. Read this and this.

Crystal Ball: Wild prognostication

Last week:

  • Mark L. - 10.60
  • Mark S. - 10.05
  • Russell - 11.99

This Week:

  • Mark L. - 10.25
  • Andrew - 9.99
  • Ophir - 9.75

 

This Week in Futures Options 60: Return of the Russell

Posted July 17th, 2017

Today's special guest is Tim McCourt, Global Head of Equity Products at CME Group.

Topics this week include:

  • Russell Index
  • Ags
  • Soybeans
  • Corn

Futures Options Feedback Flash Poll

There is some volatility rocking in the ags this week. Which product would you say is on your radar, or perhaps in your portfolio?

  • Soybeans
  • Corn
  • Wheat
  • Other

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from Nicker - Which major index is the most volatile?
  • Question from Eve4 - You talked gold collars a few episodes back, silver though has been selling off. Is this a good time for a silver collar?
  • Question from Andrew - Can you short Bitcoin BTC?

 


Where to Find Options Insider Radio?

Do you know all the ways you can access Options Insider Radio

            



Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

This is when you can access the LIVE shows this week:

Monday:
Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central

Thursday:

Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central

Friday:
Volatility Views LIVE at 12pm Central
This Week in Futures Options LIVE at 1:30 Central

As always, you can join in the fun at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/

 


Stats of the Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 9.30 - 10.35
  • S&P Cash Range: 2450.34 - 2477.62
  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 6.93
  • SPX 10-Day Realized Volatility:  4.48
  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  7.23
  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): -0.30
  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 2.43
  • S&P Skew Index
    • 07/17/2017  139.87
    • 07/18/2017  137.53
    • 07/19/2017  136.88
    • 07/20/2017  130.88
    • 07/21/2017  134.53

 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by Ally Invest

Options Playbook Radio 144: Iron Condor into AMZN Earnings

Posted February 2nd, 2017

Today we are looking at iron condors. You can find this in The Options Playbook, on OptionsPlaybook.com, or in the Amazon Kindle version.

Specifically:

  • A review of last week's F call purchase
  • What happened since we put on that trade?
  • Who announced earnings this week?
  • What can we do with AMZN?
  • Where is the AMZN straddle trading?
  • What is the over/under on the upside? Downside?
  • Rationale for picking expiration
  • Rationale for picking strikes
  • What is the maximum risk? Reward?

Do you have questions that you would like answered on the show? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com.


 

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