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GM, this is Milk Road PRO – the newsletter that delivers you piping hot alpha, fresh from the oven, each and every Saturday. |
We’re always on the lookout for projects with strong fundamentals — the kind that are either already generating revenue or are just about to flip the switch and start monetizing. |
That’s nothing new. |
But here’s something you don’t see often in this space: a project that’s actually raising its prices. |
Yes, you heard that right. Pendle, a yield derivative platform we’ll be analyzing today, is raising its take rate from 3% to 5%. |
That's a very strong signal to market participants. When a project has confidence to raise prices, it usually means one thing: serious market strength. |
But before we dive deep into any project, we want some confirmation that it’s actually worth our time. |
So we took a look at how Pendle is performing in terms of revenue right now. |
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Pendle is currently pulling in around $20 million in annualized revenue. Honestly, that’s pretty solid. Numbers like that would easily rank it among the top-20 protocols in the entire crypto space. |
P.S. Pendle’s revenue is expected to jump by around 30% thanks to the recent increase in its take rate. |
On top of that, some of our Milk Road PRO community members actively use Pendle and have been asking us to do a deep dive on the project. |
So, Pendle has quickly become a project that's too interesting and relevant for us to ignore any longer. |
Oh, and here’s one more thing that makes Pendle stand out… |
If you hold their token $PENDLE and lock it up, you get a cut of the protocol’s revenue — kind of like earning dividends. |
But don’t expect the usual boring 4-5% dividends you see with traditional stocks. |
👉 In 2024, they’ve delivered a massive 40% payout. Yes, you read that right! |
And it gets better. They’ve recently made a smart move: rewards are now paid out in stablecoins instead of $PENDLE tokens, which could mean less selling pressure on the token. |
When you see this many updates and bullish signals backed by solid fundamentals, there’s zero chance we’re not taking a closer look. |
But there's always more to the story. So let’s find out what’s really going on: |
What exactly is Pendle’s product? How are they making money right now? What gives them a competitive edge? Is $PENDLE worth buying? |
If you are new here, know this: Every time we look at a new project, we use something called the Milk Road Playbook. |
Never heard of it? No problem. You can check it out here. |
It explains how we analyze each project in more detail. It’s our go-to framework for breaking things down and figuring out if something’s worth our/your investment (or not). |
And that's exactly what we want to do today for Pendle. |
So without further ado, let’s jump right in. |
TEAM |
We always start with the team—because it’s one of the most crucial ingredients behind any successful startup. |
The team is the engine that drives the project forward, especially in the early days. |
You want to make sure they have the skills to actually pull it off and that they’re committed for the long run, not just here to cash out and vanish. |
So here’s what we found out about Pendle’s founding team. |
Pendle launched in 2021, created by TN Lee, Vu Nguyen, and two anonymous developers known as GT and YK. |
Let’s quickly introduce the two known founders and take a look at their backgrounds. |
Before starting Pendle, TN Lee—now the CEO—was leading Business Development at Kyber Network, a decentralized exchange aggregator. His background in DeFi and blockchain from Kyber played a key role in building Pendle’s unique approach to yield tokenization and trading. Vu Nguyen, Pendle’s Chief Engineer, is a three-time Math Olympiad gold medalist who graduated with a degree in Computer Science from Singapore. He previously developed smart contracts at Digix, a project that focused on gold tokenization. |
Both founders have been active in the space for years, contributing to other projects long before launching Pendle, so they’re definitely not new to the game. |
What’s interesting is that one of them comes from a BD/Sales background — something you don’t see often in crypto founders. And honestly, that’s an underrated skill when it comes to growing and scaling a product. |
True, they don’t come from the traditional finance (TradFi) world—which some might expect for a project like this, but even without that we feel pretty good about what these two bring to the table. |
Plus as we’ll see later they don’t have any vested tokens left, yet they’re still here, building and shipping. That says a lot about their commitment. 💪 |
Alright, let’s take a look at the size of the market Pendle is going after. |
TAM (TOTAL ADDRESSABLE MARKET) |
When it comes to traditional finance, interest rate derivatives are some of the biggest beasts in the game. |
And that’s exactly what Pendle is bringing onchain. |
This market is absolutely massive. It's estimated to see $400 to $500 trillion in trading volume every year. |
So when you stack that next to Pendle’s $36B in 2024, it’s clear they’ve only scratched the surface. The upside here is huge. |
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But it’s not just the volume that’s impressive — it’s the growth that really stands out. |
In 2024, Pendle’s trading volume grew by a staggering 90x compared to 2023. |
That kind of explosive growth doesn’t happen by accident. It’s a strong signal that more users are using their products. |
But let’s not get too ahead of ourselves. |
TLDR: The market Pendle is aiming for is absolutely massive. We’re talking hundreds of trillions. Even if they capture just 0.1% of it, that would still mean huge potential upside and serious profits. |
Alright, let’s finally get into the good stuff — the product itself. |
Uh, Oh… 😧 The rest of this report is exclusive to Milk Road PRO members! | Already a PRO member? Log in here. | WHAT’S LEFT INSIDE? 👀 | What gives Pendle a moat What’s concerning us about $PENDLE’s tokenomics Is $PENDLE over, under, or fairly valued right now (and are we buying)? | Upgrade your subscription today to unlock access to all of the milky insights above, PLUS: | Unlimited access to the Milk Road PRO Token Center with token ratings and insights. 🔓 The Milk Road PRO Portfolio, our yield strategies & weekly updates to help you manage investments, allocate capital, take profits, and stay ahead in crypto 📊 Weekly “Where Are We In The Cycle?” indicators to help you spot the bull market top before it’s too late 📈 Access to the PRO Community, where the Milk Road crew & 1000s of fellow PROs talk crypto. Don’t miss the monthly live events! 🫂 Half Off the Crypto Investing Masterclass 📚️ | | Already a PRO member? Log in here. | WHAT PRO MEMBERS SAID LAST WEEK: | |
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