| Adidas coughs up a furball | UK inflation finally climbs |

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Hi John, here's what you need to know for February 20th in 3:11 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. Puma warned investors that the coronavirus is hurting sales, but the sportswear brand doesn't seem all that bothered
  2. Samsung and Visa are taking fresh steps to support cryptocurrency payments, but China’s latest moves may be less welcome – Read Now
  3. UK inflation rose for the first time in six months in January, reducing the chance of an interest rate cut by the Bank of England
1/3

Ain’t No Thang

Ain’t No Thang

What’s Going On Here?

While Puma admitted on Wednesday that the coronavirus has been disrupting its sales lately, the sports brand is just sort of taking everything in stride.

What Does This Mean?

The coronavirus has halted manufacturing, reduced travel, and closed shops – all of which, clearly, is bad for business. And some major sportswear brands have been particularly at risk. Adidas, for example, earns around a third of its revenue from the Asia-Pacific region, and it's seen an 85% drop in sales since the epidemic broke out.

Puma is massively reliant on the market too, and revealed it’s also seen a drop in demand. But the sportswear giant still reported better-than-expected revenue and earnings in the last quarter, and forecast a 10% gain in revenue for this year. The company even announced it was increasing its dividend payments, and its shares were quick to make up for their last few weeks of losses.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Digital, baby.
Analysts figured Puma was so relaxed about the virus because the company had already received orders for the months ahead, and they weren’t necessarily wrong: Puma admitted it’s had to delay customers’ online orders due to the virus. And since many sportswear products are manufactured in China, current travel restrictions could be preventing those goods from making their way overseas too. Once things are back to normal, then, there might well be a surge in sales as the backlog gets fulfilled.

Zooming out: Swish swoosh.
Sports brands do have one thing in particular going for them this year: the Olympics. By putting their logos on the best of the best in front of millions of viewers, sports brands might expect to see a significant sales boost. Nike will certainly be hoping Chris Coleman, the star sprinter it’s sponsoring, will follow in the rapid footsteps of Puma’s former top dog, Usain Bolt. The already-struggling Under Armour, meanwhile, will probably just be hoping to avoid another embarrassing slip-up…

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2/3 Premium Story

Crypto Calling

Two of the world’s biggest players in smartphones and payments have deepened their ties to cryptocurrencies in recent days. But while prices creep up, US authorities continue to blow hot and cold…

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3/3

Easy Does It

Easy Does It

What’s Going On Here?

The Bank of England’s (BoE’s) cautious approach to interest rate cuts seems to be paying off nicely: data out on Wednesday showed UK inflation – the rate at which the prices of goods and services increase – finally rose in January.

What Does This Mean?

Prices rose 1.8% from the year before, largely thanks to motor fuel, air travel, and energy costs. That’s the highest rate of inflation in six months, and higher than the 1.6% investors were expecting. It was also a big improvement on December’s inflation rate, which was the lowest in three years. Inflation’s now approaching the 2% target laid out by the UK’s central bank, which – after having held off cutting interest rates last month – might view Wednesday’s data as good reason not to change that position.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Agree to disagree.
On the one hand, rising inflation and record UK employment could keep the BoE from cutting interest rates – and might even push the central bank to increase them if inflation rises too much. On the other, recent weak economic growth could still justify stimulating the economy with lower rates. Investors are split on where they think interest rates are headed next, and that’s not the only consensus they’re yet to reach: there are plenty of disagreements about the UK’s potential trade deal with the European Union too.

Zooming out: The BoE usually lasts a lot longer.
During its last meeting, the BoE said it was pretty confident the UK would hit its 2% inflation target within the next three years, particularly since business sentiment should improve after Brexit. But that timeline could come to a premature end: a new UK immigration system – which will reportedly be in place in the UK by 2021 – would prioritize high-skilled workers and, in the plan’s words, end “cheap labor from Europe”. That could increase the cost of producing goods and push the inflation rate upward.

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💬 Quote of the day

“The first problem for all of us, men and women, is not to learn, but to unlearn.”

– Gloria Steinem (an American feminist, journalist, and social political activist)
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🤔 Q&A · RE: Land Of The Rising Glum

“What do negative interest rates mean for your investments?”

– Sharon in Nigeria

“There’s no one-size-fits-all answer, Sharon, since it depends what you’re invested in. But generally speaking, you won’t earn much interest, if any, on the cash you have in the bank when rates are negative. And if you’re wealthy enough to be considered a ‘high-net-worth-individual’, you might even find some banks charge interest on your cash. In any case, the hope is that you’ll put your cash into riskier, potentially more rewarding investments like shares. That could be good news if you’re already a stock market investor, since increased demand for shares would likely boost the value of your current holdings.”

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📚 What we're reading

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