May 12th, 2025

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Market Analysis

Bitcoin’s Open Interest & Whale Activity Surges

Alpharactal data shows Bitcoin's surge past $100K is driven by institutional investors, not retail hype.

Open interest (OI) in BTC futures has also climbed alongside price, signaling strong market confidence. Whale sentiment, tracked by large wallet activity, also indicates significant accumulation ahead of the rally.

Unlike past cycles, this growth reflects strategic positioning by institutions using derivatives and long-term accumulation. Analysts suggest Bitcoin’s market is maturing, with deeper liquidity and reduced volatility, marking the beginning of its institutional era.


Ethereum Remains Strong Following 29% Rally

Ethereum leads with $64B in TVL, far ahead of Solana, BNB Chain, and Tron’s combined $22.3B.

Despite strong fundamentals and the recent Pectra upgrade improving scalability and staking, Ethereum faces weak ETF demand, $16M in outflows on May 8th, the third straight day of losses.

Network usage is similarly down, with fees dropping 85% since January, weakening ETH’s deflationary model and staking appeal. Politically, President Trump has walked back support for altcoins, including Ethereum, after cutting ties with a crypto lobbyist, further clouding the outlook.

Still, ETH’s technicals remain strong, and a move to $2,700 is possible if sentiment improves and competitors falter.


XRP Price Warning Issued Despite 30% Surge

Ripple (XRP) rebounded from a recent low of $1.60 amid broader crypto recovery. However, analysts warn of a potential reversal, with the TD Sequential indicator flashing a sell signal.

Geopolitical tensions, especially U.S.-China trade issues, and recent optimism around resumed negotiations are also influencing market sentiment.

Additionally, Ripple's recent legal win against the U.S. SEC has contributed to its recent price strength.


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Opinion Piece - Strategy Is Turning Scarcity Into Strength

Strategy has been buying Bitcoin faster than it’s being mined, over 2,000 BTC a day compared to the 450 BTC daily output.

This aggressive accumulation by Michael Saylor's firm is creating a synthetic supply squeeze, driving deflationary pressure and reinforcing Bitcoin’s scarcity. With over 555K BTC held off the market, Strategy is rapidly accelerating Bitcoin’s scarcity curve, echoing the effects of a halving.

Still, by raising capital through debt and equity to fund these purchases, the firm is bridging traditional finance and crypto, giving over 13K institutional investors indirect Bitcoin exposure through its stock.

In any case, Saylor’s vision is catching on. More institutions now view Bitcoin as a treasury asset and store of value, not just a speculative bet. And with ETFs making BTC more accessible, demand continues to rise.

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We at CryptoWeekly are not Financial Advisors. None of the content or opinions expressed in this newsletter should be considered financial advice. We highly recommend that you do your own research before investing in any project within or outside the cryptocurrency space.