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Daily Market Analysis August 29th 2017 |
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Sterling mixed on Bank Holiday ahead of fresh Brexit negotiations With another round of Brexit negotiations set to begin soon, the markets were once again uneasy yesterday. However political tensions in North Korea helped Sterling make some gains against the riskier currencies. GBP/EUR begins today down -0.3% at €1.0776, while GBP/USD is recording gains of 0.2% to hit US$1.2957. GBP/NZD has also recorded similar gains, trading at NZ$1.7888, while GBP/AUD is stuck at AU$1.6314 and GBP/CAD is slipping away from opening levels of C$1.6164. There is nothing on the UK economic calendar today, but what are markets expecting from the next stage of Brexit negotiations? Read on to find out why there is a little more confidence this time round… |
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Today's Rate The rates above are using the British pound (GBP) as the base rate. All rates are for indication purposes only. Prices can vary dramatically based on amount and delivery date. |
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| "The pound managed to find some support from the fact that Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson recently conceded that the UK would indeed have to pay some form of ‘divorce’ bill to the European Union."  Transfer 24/7 with our currencies direct app   |
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What’s been happening? Due to the fact it was a Bank Holiday yesterday in the UK, there was no economic data set for release. However, the pound managed to find some support from the fact that Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson recently conceded that the UK would indeed have to pay some form of ‘divorce’ bill to the European Union. Johnson had previously rubbished the idea, in a series of comments seen to have significantly damaged the tone of the negotiations. The EU has insisted that the UK must meet its financial obligations before issues such as trade can be discussed, so the government’s refusal to acknowledge the need for such payments threatened to delay talks even further. GBP/USD was able to benefit from the fact that chances of another interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve remain weak after last week’s disappointing Jackson Hole symposium speech from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen. Markets are now expecting a 65.3% chance that the Federal Reserve will not change interest rates again this year |
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What's coming up? There is no UK data left on the economic calendar today, although this morning’s Nationwide house prices figures could weigh on sterling as the day’s trading progresses. House prices declined -0.1% month on month. The day’s Eurozone data has also been released, with a surprise rise in German consumer confidence and news that the Romanian government is set to join the Eurozone in 2022 helping to push EUR higher. US consumer confidence data is set for release later, but this is unlikely to improve the US dollar, which could provide more support for GBP/USD. The damage wrought upon Texas by Storm Harvey is weighing on the markets. We’re here to talk currency whenever you need us, so get in touch if you want to know more about the latest news or how it could impact your currency transfers. |
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| Phil McHugh,
Trading Floor Manager Phil provides dealing and hedging services whilst also helping to manage Currencies Direct overall market exposure. |
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