Demand for the dollar is dropping as investors race to pull funds from U.S. stocks, fearful the coronavirus will crush growth. Oil prices have cratered thanks to a full-blown price war triggered by Russia and escalated by Saudi Arabia. Demand for government bonds has sent Treasury yields to record lows. The traditional relationship between the dollar, oil and yields has now been turned on its head. It’s a big red flag, one made even worse by the fact that March 11, 2020, will be remembered as the day the longest bull market in American history came to an end. —David E. Rovella We’re tracking the latest on the coronavirus outbreak and the global response. Sign up here for our daily newsletter on what you need to know. Here are today’s top stories Eleven years of unprecedented stock market growth totaling $20 trillion sprouted from the ashes of the worst financial disaster since the Great Depression. This is how the great bull market began. The World Health Organization formally declared a pandemic. Local and state officials across the U.S. took steps to discourage or ban large gatherings, and Seattle became the first major American city to close its public schools. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said Europe risks a major economic shock not unlike the global financial crisis. With nationwide restrictions already imposed on travel, Italy on Wednesday closed all businesses except pharmacies and grocery stores. Economists are lowering their estimates for second-quarter growth in the U.S. as the virus cuts demand and spending. Private equity firms Blackstone and Carlyle Group have a message for portfolio companies: Do whatever it takes to stave off a credit crunch. New York state said it will use private labs to increase testing for the new coronavirus, which has been hampered by a slow federal response. New York City meanwhile cancelled the St. Patrick’s Day Parade. What’s Joe Nocera thinking? The Bloomberg Opinion columnist says coronavirus-related financial aid should go to taxpayers, not corporations. Joe says the airline, hotel and cruise-ship industries don’t need the help. What you’ll need to know tomorrow Why President Donald Trump started taking the virus more seriously. Fear of virus tainted-dollars renews the war on cash. The Supreme Court gives Trump another victory on immigration. Boeing is going to draw down all of a $13.8 billion loan. Movie producer Harvey Weinstein gets a 23 year-prison term. Fans are barred from attending the NCAA tournament. The rich try to leave the virus behind by fleeing to the Hamptons. What you’ll want to see in Bloomberg Graphics With almost 124,000 confirmed cases worldwide and 4,578 dead, the WHO declared a pandemic on Wednesday. In the U.S., recorded infections approached 1,000, with 31 dead, though those numbers are expected to rise significantly. Efforts to prevent the illness from spreading further has led to shuttered cities, widespread flight cancellations and teetering financial markets all over the globe. See the maps here. Like Bloomberg ’ s Evening Briefing? Subscribe to Bloomberg All Access and get much, much more. You’ll receive our unmatched global news coverage and two in-depth daily newsletters, The Bloomberg Open and The Bloomberg Close. Sign up for the Bloomberg Recession Tracker: Bloomberg Economics crunches the numbers every month using our proprietary model to reveal the probability of a downturn over the next year. We’ll deliver an updated assessment of all relevant indicators, directly to your inbox. This free newsletter includes analysis showing whether recession risk is increasing or decreasing, with comparisons to the past month’s performance as well as previous recessions. Sign up here . Download the Bloomberg app: It’s available for iOS and Android. Before it’s here, it’s on the Bloomberg Terminal. Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals can’t find anywhere else. Learn more. |