How does $70 billion sound? | Vodafone makes a good call |
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Hi John, here's what you need to know for November 13th in 3:10 minutes.

☕️ Finimized over a cortadito at Café El Escorial in Havana, Cuba (29°C/85°F 🌤)

⏳ Keep it brief

  • Private equity firm KKR has made a $70 billion offer to buy Walgreens Boots Alliance
  • Telecoms companies Vodafone and Iliad won investors back over to “defensive” stocks

A Sprinkle In Time

A Sprinkle In Time

What’s Going On Here?

With $2.5 trillion of “dry powder” sitting in private equity firms’ coffers, it was perhaps only a matter of time before one of the biggest spent $70 billion trying to soothe its sore spots…

What Does This Mean?

Back in 2015, private equity firm KKR spent $640 million on a majority stake in Trainline – before bagging a profit from the British ticketing company’s initial public offering in June, which valued it at $2.5 billion. And on Tuesday, KKR sold off its remaining Trainline shares, freeing up some cash to use elsewhere.

“Elsewhere” might turn out to be Anglo-American pharmacy chain Walgreens Boots Alliance. The public company has reportedly been looking for a private buyer, and it’s attracted a $70 billion offer from KKR. If it goes ahead, it’ll be the biggest private equity deal ever.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Give with one hand, take with the other.
As the healthcare industry changes – and as Amazon’s burgeoning health business threatens the established players – Walgreens might be better off away from the quarterly scrutiny of public investors. But in the meantime, those investors stand to secure a tidy profit from the KKR agreement. The latter’s offer is about 30% higher than Walgreens’ current price, and it’ll likely hope to sell a healthier and more expensive company back to public investors in the future – just like it did with Trainline.

The bigger picture: Poor rich private equity firms.
One reason private equity firms have so much cash to spare is that they’ve found spending it isn’t as easy as it used to be. In July, for example, two private equity giants made a joint $4 billion offer to purchase German lighting manufacturer Osram. But Osram's instead likely to accept a slightly higher rival offer from a buyer that’s promised to stave off job cuts until 2022 – something private equity firms have a reputation for decidedly not doing.

The hidden source of that $2.5 trillion in unspent funds

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The hidden source of that $2.5 trillion in unspent funds

11:45

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@Finimize I’m interested in the stock market, but not sure where to start. Any tips for going from investing newbie to investing boss? 💪”

First off, you’re not alone. We know how inaccessible investing can seem to the uninitiated. But we do have a bit of tip for you, as it happens: Public.com. They’ve come up with a new way to invest that makes it possible to buy any stock with any amount of money, commission free. Read on, or tap here, to learn more…

Defenders, Assemble

Defenders, Assemble

What’s Going On Here?

Shares of “defensive” telecoms companies have been out of favor with investors lately – but on Tuesday, Vodafone and Iliad reminded them that a good defense can be the best offense.

What Does This Mean?

Vodafone, the world’s second-largest telecoms company, announced it’ll make a higher profit this year than it had previously thought. The company has been proactive recently, buying rival Liberty Global’s German and Eastern European cable television businesses – an acquisition that played a big part in its improved forecast. Investors who are becoming more positive about Germany’s prospects might now look twice at the telecoms giant.

Just next door, French carrier Iliad – which once took La République by storm with its low prices – has recently been losing customers to competitors, weighing on its earnings and share price. Iliad also announced a decisive move on Tuesday: it’ll buy 20% of its shares at 26% more than Monday’s share price, and increase its dividend almost threefold.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Eating their own dog food.
Share buybacks tend to boost a company’s stock price for a couple of reasons. They indicate to investors that the firm’s management is confident in the company’s future prospects and believes its stock is undervalued. That, in turn, might ignite appetite for shares among new investors. And, of course, fresh demand for the stock should push its price higher – especially in Iliad’s case, where a specific, higher-than-current purchase price has been promised, benefiting existing stockholders.

The bigger picture: Defense isn't always protected.
Telecoms companies lock their customers into long-term contracts, which makes their earnings relatively stable and predictable. It’s why they’re seen as “defensive”. And while recent growth has partly been thanks to bundling cell phone, internet, and television plans, costs from the 5G rollout are growing too. Without carefully balancing revenue and costs, telecoms firms risk meeting the fate of defensive consumer staples company Dean Foods, which filed for bankruptcy on Tuesday (tweet this).

How to separate safer stocks from riskier ones

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How to separate safer stocks from riskier ones

9:56

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💬 Quote of the day

“I improve on misquotation.”

– Cary Grant (an English-born American actor)

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🤔 Q&A RE: That’s The Spirit

“How have analysts calculated that Facebook, WhatsApp, and Instagram could be worth more separately than together?”

– Keenah in Malaysia

“Facebook, which owns WhatsApp and Instagram, is currently worth $540 billion and has 2.5 billion active users each month. Alongside WhatsApp and Instagram – with around two billion and one billion monthly users respectively – there are about three billion people using Facebook’s services every month. But some analysts think Facebook’s valuation doesn’t reflect the potential of its user base across these three platforms. They’ve compared the valuations of close rivals Snap Inc. and Twitter to each company’s number of monthly users, which works out to a per-user value of about $35. WhatsApp, by that math, could be worth at least $70 billion, and Instagram anything between $35 billion and $100 billion (by some estimates). That would, in theory, leave Facebook worth less than it is today at $435 billion – or 18 times next year’s profit versus 21 times now. Even so, given that it’d still be the dominant social media platform, investors might still find it an attractive proposition.”

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