Was the G20 summit this weekend a diplomatic success or a letdown? Beyond the answer to this question, the shift we saw there might also mean that, in the future, it might be harder to drive home Western points on Ukraine. This weekend’s G20 talks in Delhi ended with a hard-won compromise declaration – and with the omission of any specific reference to Russia’s role as an aggressor in the war in Ukraine. Compared to the language in Bali from November 2022, the final communiqué no longer included wording referring to a United Nations resolution that cited aggression by Russia and a call for withdrawal from Ukraine. Combined with the fact that Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, the host of next year’s G20 talks, said Russian President Vladimir Putin would not be arrested if he attended the summit in Rio de Janeiro, the picture looked rather grim. Brazil is, after all, a signatory to the Rome Statute, which led to the founding of the International Criminal Court (ICC), which has a pending arrest warrant against Putin. There are now two strands of thought on this. |