| The results of the US elections are expected to bring about a major shift in global politics and Europe will be heavily affected. Donald Trump and the Republicans are mistakenly considered by Europe as less predictable compared to Kamala Harris and the Democrats. Europeans should not forget that Joe Biden’s administration was the one who surprised Europe. Firstly, in August 2021 when the US unilaterally decided to pull out from Afghanistan without prior notice, leaving the Europeans in limbo. A month later, Biden secretly coordinated the China-focused “Aukus” security pact between Washington, London and Canberra. The pact resulted in Australia cancelling a contract for the delivery of 12 French submarines in favour of models co-produced by the US and the UK. Some in Europe back then talked about “treason”. But speaking to officials in Florida this week, I realised that the Republicans are not unpredictable. Instead, they are very clear and serious when it comes to their expectations from Europe. To some extent, Europe’s agenda has already been impacted even with the expectation of Trump’s return. Commenting on a possible victory for Trump days before the polls opened, former US Ambassador Thomas Miller told ToVima journal, “I think the Europeans should worry,” and warned about major changes in American foreign policy. | 