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10/01/25View in Browser
Can Greenland’s Viking history teach us anything about the EU economy?

Donald Trump’sĀ warningĀ that the US could invade Greenland inevitably caused the sparsely populated Danish territory to surge to the top of this week’s global news agenda.

Putting aside multiple legal and political scruples, the President-elect’s economic rationale for annexing the world’s largest island is easy to discern.

Strategically located between North America, Europe, and the Arctic, Greenland is replete with reserves of oil and gas, as well as critical raw materials used in numerous modern technologies such as electric vehicles and batteries.

These abundant resources will likely become significantly easier to extract over the coming years as global warming – which Trump has, somewhat ironically, labelled ā€œone of theĀ greatestĀ scams ofĀ allĀ timeā€ – accelerates the melting of Greenland’s vast ice sheet.

Less obvious, however, is the fact that Greenland’s tragic history holds numerous salutary lessons for current EU policymakers. Indeed, its past provides ominous warnings about where the bloc’s economy might eventually be headed.

As US author Jared Diamond notes in his acclaimed 2005 bestseller,Ā Collapse, Greenland’s history is marked by the notorious disappearance of its Viking Norse settlers, who lived on the island for hundreds of years before dying out around the mid-15th century.

While the immediate causes of the Vikings’ disappearance remain a matter of scholarly debate (did they ultimately starve to death? Did the Inuits kill them off?), Diamond points out that a clear consensus has formed about the long-term factors behind their decline.

Some of these reasons are of little contemporary relevance: Europe, for instance, is hardly at risk of another ā€œLittle Ice Ageā€, which ravaged Norse agriculture from the early 1400s. If anything, it is facing the exact opposite problem.

Other factors, however, bear striking similarities to Europe's present situation.

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[Edited by Owen Morgan]
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