| Wakey wakey, US government | Softbank sells up |

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Hi John, here's what you need to know for March 24th in 3:10 minutes.

☕️ Finimized over a Nescafé Azera in full compliance with social distancing guidelines (10°C/50°F 😇)

Today's big stories

  1. The US Federal Reserve announced unlimited “quantitative easing” to support the US economy
  2. Our analysts look for more potential bargains in the current bear market – Read Now
  3. SoftBank announced $41 billion worth of asset sales and plans to repurchase its own shares, and its stock rose almost 20%
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Unlimited Power

Unlimited Power

What’s Going On Here?

The Federal Reserve (the Fed) announced on Monday there’d no limits to its bond-buying to support the US economy (tweet this).

What Does This Mean?

The Fed announced $700 billion of new bond purchases this time last week, and by Friday, it’d already completed a batch of them. But maybe it didn’t see the immediate reaction it was hoping for – that is, more business loans. Or maybe it was concerned the US government hadn’t agreed on its own spending plans by the weekend. Either way, the Fed decided to unveil even more spending.

On top of unrestrained government bond-buying and ongoing support for super-short-term lending markets, the Fed announced several new programs: it’d buy up corporate bonds – as well as debts related to credit card, car, and student loans – in an effort to free up cash across the economy. It promised to roll out a plan for small, independent businesses outside the finance world too.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Fighting against gravity.
After the government failed to agree on a spending package, the US stock market looked set to fall as far as it could without triggering an emergency 15-minute break. But it actually ended up having a positive start to the day following the Fed’s announcement, albeit temporarily. Hedge funds, for their part, might use that to encourage investors to give them even more money. Their pitch? “Buy the dip” and profit from any eventual recovery in asset prices. They probably glossed over the bit about most hedge funds having lost money this month, mind you.

The bigger picture: The holy trinity. 
According to Goldman Sachs, the speed of a stock market recovery depends on how quickly the virus is contained, whether companies have enough cash to survive the next three to six months (which the Fed’s trying to help with), and whether government spending can stabilize the economy. A quickly contained virus accompanied by shuttered businesses and lost jobs, for example, will slow any recovery significantly.

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Bag Yourself A Bargain

Several big investors think the bear market represents a golden opportunity to “practically steal” shares in companies that might be set to profit from the global outbreak. Our analysts investigate.

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Bright Future

Bright Future

What’s Going On Here?

Japanese conglomerate SoftBank announced plans on Monday to sell $41 billion worth of assets and return some of the cash to its shareholders – proving investors might still have something to look forward to.

What Does This Mean?

While SoftBank hasn’t confirmed exactly which assets it’ll sell, it has lots to choose from. But if it’s looking to earn big, it might consider Arm – the British smartphone microchip designer it bought for $32 billion in 2016 – or the more than $120 billion stake it owns in Chinese ecommerce giant Alibaba.

SoftBank has promised to spend $18 billion of its windfall on share buybacks, on top of the $5 billion it’d previously announced. The company might be hoping to show investors – and one activist investor in particular – that it has more than enough cash to outlast the current health and financial crises. And given some of SoftBank’s high-stakes investments famously failed to pan out as hoped – sorry to keep bringing it up, WeWork – investors might be relieved to hear it.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: The art of self-defense.
SoftBank’s share price has fallen more than 40% this year, but it bounced back by 19% on Monday. That might be down to the resilience of SoftBank’s large telecoms business, as well as its predictability in a downturn thanks to its long contracts. And since the conglomerate is also promising to use some of its future cash influx to buy back and cancel some of its debt, it’ll hopefully become an overall less risky – and potentially more lucrative – investment proposition.

Zooming out: Rage against the machine.
SoftBank isn’t the only company trying to wriggle out of trouble: beleaguered aircraft manufacturer Airbus announced steps on Monday to build a $32 billion cash reserve, in part by borrowing $16 billion and cutting its dividend. If only its customers – airlines – were so lucky: they’re still calling for government support.

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💬 Quote of the day

“I am a kind of paranoiac in reverse. I suspect people of plotting to make me happy.”

– J.D. Salinger (an American writer)
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⚡️ Lightning insight

Defensive stocks – think healthcare, utilities, telecoms, where earnings and dividends are considered pretty predictable – tend to be investors’ go-to in a bear market.

Find out how bear markets happen, which industries stand to benefit, and how you can take advantage of the fall. It’s all in our Bear Markets Pack.

📚 What we're reading (that's not about coronavirus)

  • The lucrative world of D-list celebs (Marker)
  • Reckon you’d eat 40 pizzas in 30 days? (AV Club)
  • Here’s how to make the world a better place (TED)
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