Geert Wilders posing after being named politician of the year by Dutch TV show EenVandaag in 2015. (Martijn Beekman/AFP/Getty Images) The bellwether state If you want to understand political trends sweeping Europe, look to the Netherlands. Its students began protesting in 1966, foreshadowing young left-wing agita across the continent. It’s 1994 election brought center-left “third-way” politics into style three years before Tony Blair was elected in the U.K. And this year, the country may once again be a bellwether for things to come. On March 15, the Dutch will go to the polls to choose their new parliament. The campaign, which begins today, pits a populist anti-Islam party against more traditional politicians; the hot-button issues are integration, refugees and what role immigrants, particularly Muslims, should play in Dutch society. It’s practically a dress rehearsal of elections to come later this year in France and Germany. About 15 percent of Netherlands residents are from outside the E.U. A majority of voters are worried about immigrants from outside the bloc, and 57 percent disapprove of how their government is handling things. (It's no wonder that 40 percent of Dutch citizens of Turkish, Moroccan, Surinamese or Antillean descent don't feel "at home" in the country.) Right now, the candidate with the most popular platform is Geert Wilders, head of the far-right Freedom Party. Wilders wants a Brexit-style withdrawal from the E.U. and a ban on immigrants from Muslim countries. In December, he was found guilty of "insulting and inciting discrimination against Moroccans." Other candidates have also upped their anti-immigration rhetoric. In an open letter, current Prime Minister Mark Rutte of the economically conservative People's Party wrote that people should "act normal or leave." It's still unclear how things will turn out. More than 70 percent of Dutch voters say they're undecided, and there are 14 parties to choose from. And while Wilders is leading in the polls with 20 percent, most other parties have said they won't form a coalition with him. That would likely leave him locked out of power even if his party wins a plurality. But if the Freedom Party does come in first, populism expert Cas Mudde told the Economist, "the media will represent him and his European collaborators as 'the choice of the people'." And if that happens, it can only mean good things for France’s Marine Le Pen, Germany’s Frauke Petry and populists across Europe. — Amanda Erickson Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu chairs the weekly cabinet meeting in Jerusalem on Feb. 12. (Gali Tibbon/AP) The big question Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is in Washington to meet with President Trump and other U.S. officials today. Israel, as we've written, is one of the very few countries that seems likely to benefit from having Trump, a staunch ally who has embraced hard-right positions and advisers on Israel, in the White House. Already there are reports that Trump will not hold Netanyahu to the U.S.' traditional (if moribund) demand for a two-state solution. But with Trump reeling this week amid the Michael Flynn scandal, we asked William Booth, the Post's Jerusalem bureau chief: What can Trump and Netanyahu do for each other? "The two leaders need each other right now. "Trump has had a chaotic few weeks, to say the least. A warm and fuzzy day with Netanyahu might help him get back on track — assuming everyone sticks to the script. "The visit will give Trump a chance to reaffirm his and America’s unbreakable alliance with Israel. Embracing Israel is a popular bipartisan position, a no-brainer. With Netanyahu by his side, Trump can also talk tough on Tehran, Israel’s nemesis. Trump doesn’t have to make good on his promise to tear up the nuclear deal with Iran, but he could rattle his sword a bit. "Netanyahu’s agenda is Iran, Iran, Iran. He wants an understanding that Trump and the United States will hold Iran to its commitments, and the Trump administration seems happy to oblige. The Israelis are also worried what comes next in Syria, with the Russians, Iran and its proxy Hezbollah. "Netanyahu needs a good meeting, too. He is being investigated at home by police for accepting lavish gifts and scheming to manipulate media coverage. The prime minister’s hard-right flank is pounding on him to renounce the two-state solution. "This he will not do. Netanyahu is a status quo guy. But Trump could hand him a gift — for instance, a green light to build more homes in the large Jewish settlement blocs, in exchange for a promise to go slow in the outposts. "Of course, Trump could also blow Netanyahu's mind by announcing that, 'for humanity's sake,' he will immediately begin to negotiate 'the ultimate deal' with the Palestinians. That would make some news." |