Plus: Why female bosses help women into the Indian workforce, and displacement causes rising tension in Beirut ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
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| Hello. Today my colleague Natalie Sherman is writing on the latest figures on the US economy - and assesses whether the mostly positive trends will have an impact on next week's election. We're also reporting from Beirut, India and the Scottish Highlands. But first, here's the latest about the deadly flash floods in Spain. | |
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QUESTIONS ANSWERED | Will US economic growth impact the election? |
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| | Consumer spending was the biggest driver of US economic growth last quarter. Credit: Getty Images | The US economy grew solidly in the three months to September, expanding at an annual rate of 2.8%. The US is on track for one of the strongest economic performances of any major economy this year. |
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| | Natalie Sherman, BBC News |
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| What does the latest data say? | Much of the economic data has been solid or moving in the right direction. Petrol prices are down, grocery prices are stabilising and wages, for at least the past year, have been rising faster than prices, which for many families is helping to offset the jump in living costs. | How can this affect people's view of the economy? | It is not clear the latest figures will do much to assuage people's worries. Economic sentiment, which darkened abruptly during the pandemic, has remained downbeat, as a roughly 21% jump in prices over the past four years overshadows other economic news. This month, one poll found that a solid 62% of Americans viewed the economy overall as “bad”. Analysts said it is not clear how big a role the economy will actually play in shaping the election outcome this year. | Why is that? | Opinions have grown increasingly coloured by a person's political views over the last few decades "Even though the economy is based on numbers, a lot of people's views are partisan," Marjorie Connelly, a senior fellow at the AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs, told me. "The economy will be a factor, but ... I think partisanship will be the biggest factor." | | - The latest: The two candidates are both holding competing events in Wisconsin and North Carolina, as 3 million people have already voted in the swing state of Georgia. Our live page has more.
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| Tensions rise after influx of displaced people | | Fatima al-Haj Yousef (right) has arrived with her husband and three children from the Bekaa Valley. Credit: BBC | Many different religious communities live in Lebanon, where sectarian divisions risk being exacerbated by the displacement of people due to Israel's airstrikes and ground invasion. Memories of the 1975-1990 civil war, when sectarian militias controlled different areas of Beirut, are still vivid. |
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| | Lina Sinjab, BBC correspondent |
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| | The sound of war is loud at night in Beirut’s eastern Achrafieh neighbourhood. Residents can hear Israeli air strikes hitting the Lebanese capital’s southern suburbs, known as Dahieh. Some can even see the explosions lighting up the sky from their balconies. Even though the arrival of wealthy Shia families have boosted the incomes of landlords, many are now concerned that they could be members of Hezbollah and potential Israeli targets.
In some areas, leaflets have been distributed asking for members of Hezbollah to leave, while individuals known to be affiliated with the group have been told to go. "There is a feeling of fear. Some citizens are suspicious about who is coming to their region. A lot of people are very afraid that some Hezbollah members live in a building where they are followed by Israel and probably targeted,” Christian resident Nadim Gemayel says. |
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| | | | - Aid in Gaza: Israel must immediately address the “catastrophic humanitarian situation” in Gaza, the US envoy to the UN has warned, as the deadline approaches to improve the flow of aid or face cuts to American military assistance.
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THE BIG PICTURE | Why women bosses lead to female workforce |
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| | | Women's contribution to India’s GDP is just 17%, less than half the global average. Credit: Getty Images | Women, though half the population, own less than a fifth of businesses globally, according to a World Bank report. But female entrepreneurship could be one of the keys to getting more women to enter the workforce, according to a study focusing on India. The total number of women working in the country has barely moved in three decades. |
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FOR YOUR DOWNTIME | The failure that started the internet | How a crashing messaging system shaped the world as we know it. | |
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And finally... in Scotland | A Victorian building in a Scottish Highlands village has a reported history of strange goings on and is rumoured to be haunted by ghosts. When the building has been closed, CCTV has filmed what looks like mist rising in the hall and lights turning on and off in the bar, while a decorator working alone reported hearing doors slamming and then a growl in his ear. Naturally, the BBC went along to investigate... | |
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Six Steps to Calm | Discover a calmer future with this course of six science-backed techniques, weekly to your inbox. | |
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