Utah Policy: election predictions

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Utah Policy Daily Newsletter

The UtahPolicy.com daily newsletter gets you up to speed on the top local and national news about politics and public policy. Send news tips or feedback to lwebb@utahpolicy.com,.

Situational Analysis - November 2, 2020

Welcome to Monday. Election eve. Are you so excited you won't be able to sleep tonight? If so, you're a real political junkie. Or your mattress is too hard. Pleasant dreams.

TICK TOCK

1 day to the 2020 general election (11/3/2020)
3 days to legislative leadership elections (11/5/2020)
15 days to the Board of Canvassers meeting (11/17/2020
42 days until the Electoral College meets (12/14/2020)
78 days to inauguration day (01/20/2021)
84 days to the start of the 2021 Utah Legislature (1/25/2021)

Monday Trivia Quiz

Ron Fox earned the right to ask this tough question: Who was the man named governor of the territory of Utah who was confirmed by the U.S. Senate, and his commission was signed and sent to him here in Utah, but he refused to take the appointment? You have until end of day Wednesday to send your answer to lwebb@utahpolicy.com.

Today At Utah Policy

My inner Nostradamus breaks out with election predictions
By LaVarr Webb
I don't usually make election predictions. But my old friend and longtime associate Bob Bernick did make predictions for many decades when he was writing political columns. I always wanted to be like Bob, so since he's mostly retired, I'll fill in. And maybe I'll coax him out of retirement to do some more writing. Bob was often wrong, but never in doubt. By contrast, I'm usually pretty wishy-washy on close races. My guesses aren't any better than anyone else's.Webb's Wrap: Let's accept the election outcome . . . Captain Moroni, or Captain America? . . . CSG honors Gordon Larson
By LaVarr Webb
It has been a very long and exhausting election season and I assume pretty much everyone is happy to see it come to a close. Unfortunately, we may not have clear winners Tuesday night in the presidential race, and in a number of key U.S. Senate races that will determine Senate control. So it may take some extra time to have all the election questions answered, but that's almost to be expected in the topsy-turvy year of 2020 when not much is normal. In Utah, the 4th District race could make for a long night, along with a few legislative contests.Analysis: Utah cities pursue 100% net-renewable electricity
By Emily E. Skill, Edwin R. Stafford, and Roslynn B.H. Brain McCann, Utah State University
Twenty-three Utah cities and counties have resolved to adopt 100 percent net-renewable electricity (from solar, wind, geothermal, hydro-electric, and demand management) in their communities by 2030 through the Community Renewable Energy Act of 2019. This represents about 37 percent of Utah's electricity load. How did a conservative, coal-based state achieve such a commitment? We recently published a study in the journal Sustainability (access is currently free) exploring how it all began with Salt Lake City, Park City, and Moab, the first Utah cities to enact 100 percent net-renewable electricity resolutions. Through interviews of the key players involved and secondary sources, our research uncovered the initial key obstacles facing the cities' renewable electricity goals and the strategies they have initiated to tackle them.

Utah Headlines

Deseret News

Pignanelli & Webb: Want to be a pundit? Here's what to look for on Election Day Thomas Wright: Zoning laws aren't the only things hindering Utah's housing market UTA to unveil its five-year mass transit plan Sen. Mike Lee explains comparing Donald Trump to Capt. Moroni from Book of Mormon Romney, McAdams urge Pelosi to act on Navajo clean water bill amid pandemic Meet the highest ranking Latter-day Saint in the Trump administration The countdown to Election Day: Will Utah see long lines at the polls? $10 million in new federal funding will help get broadband to some rural Utah communities Why Utah's 1st District race is so important this election year Why there's global significance at a geothermal project in Beaver County Doomed to repeat: October marked 102nd anniversary of first Utah shutdown, mask orders 'Bellwether' race in Utah sees price tag top $22 million in competitive campaign Kanye West won't be president, but is his candidacy the future of American elections? Can conserving water save the Great Salt Lake? Book by Westminster College faculty, students a 'call to action' to protect Great Salt Lake After the debacle of 2016, will the polls get it right this time? In other news ... new Supreme Court to hear potentially sweeping religious freedom case this week COVID-19 story in young people is more complicated than statistics show

Salt Lake Tribune

Utah brewers are feeling the effects of stronger beer in grocery stores EPA guts plan that would have slashed pollution from Utah coal plants Utah prison locked down as inmates test positive, including in 'medically vulnerable' area Salt Lake County Democratic candidates far ahead in campaign fundraising Salt Lake City wants to replace run-down water park with something new Despite complaint, Utah elections director says 'Frugal' nickname is kosher for ballot Utah clerks fight election rumors, misinformation ahead of Tuesday's polls

Other

Weber County turnout 'will be record-setting,' 49% of ballots already turned in (Standard-Examiner) Utah House hopefuls in Weber County take cue from Cox, Peterson, call for civility (Standard-Examiner) Weber County voters - the clock's ticking if you still haven't cast your ballot (Standard-Examiner) Household spread accounts for more cases than college students, officials say (Logan Herald Journal) Votes pour into the Summit County Clerk's Office, with ballots from 57% of active voters already processed on Thursday before election (Park Record) Bullough: Grim winter ahead for Summit County if COVID trends continue (Park Record)

National Headlines

Sunday Shows Roundup (The Hill) Trump Surges to 7-Point Iowa Lead as Biden Fades (Des Moines Register) Forty-One Percent (Medium) Joe Biden goes all in on rebuilding 'blue wall' in campaign closing stretch (CNN) The map is wide, Democrats tense and Republicans hopeful in the last days of campaign 2020 (Washington Post) Could Blacks and Hispanics hand Trump a November victory? (The Hill) Still an Undecided Voter? Consider Abortion Numbers (RealClearPolitics) In Pennsylvania, small-town Trump defectors are rare - but could be decisive (NBC News) After the Trump-Biden race, America needs healing (NBC News) RNC Chair Ronna McDaniel: Republicans fighting Democratic attempts to steal election victory (FOX News) Win or lose, with Trump, prepare for the unimaginable after the election (CNN) Democrats Gripped the Black Community so Tightly It's Slipping Through Their Fingers (RedState) Newt Gingrich: Will Trump win? Yes. I think history will repeat itself here's why (FOX News) The coronavirus election (The Hill) Tech Startups Say New Pay Rules for H-1B Visas Are Unaffordable (Wall Street Journal) Companies Fret Over Coronavirus Despite Rebound (Wall Street Journal) Fund Manager Nightmare Is Biden Without Blue Wave Congress (Bloomberg) Gottlieb predicts Thanksgiving will be 'inflection point' for winter coronavirus surge (POLITICO)

Policy News

Nominees announced for two 2nd District Court vacancies
SALT LAKE CITY - The Second District Judicial Nominating Commission has selected nominees for two vacancies on the Second District Court. These vacancies result from the retirements of Judge John R. Morris, December 31, 2020 and Judge Thomas L. Kay, January 1, 2021.Kael Weston & Evan McMullin host joint Facebook Live event
On Monday, Nov. 2, Evan McMullin will join Kael Weston for a special Facebook Live event on the topic of Bridging Divides this election year-and after. It will take more listening and less yelling to start to repair and rebuild our country in 2021. Electing Joe Biden as president is the beginning of that process.Biden campaign endorses Peterson-Brown ticket in Utah gubernatorial race
Democratic candidate for president Joseph R. Biden has announced his endorsement of Chris Peterson for Utah governor. "In a time of division, we need leaders who will stand up for working people," Vice President Biden said. "As governor of Utah, Chris Peterson will help our country heal and make a positive difference in the daily lives of Utahns. I'm proud of his track record of fighting for consumer protections and access to health care. I stand with Chris and thank him for his service."Romney & McAdams push for passage of Utah Navajo water bill
WASHINGTON - U.S. Senator Mitt Romney (R-UT) and Congressman Ben McAdams (D-UT) have urged action on legislation that would secure clean drinking water for Navajo Nation in Utah. Romney and McAdams sent a joint letter to the House Speaker, House Majority Leader, and House Committee on Natural Resources Chair urging passage of the Navajo Utah Water Rights Settlement Act.Despite polarized politics, consensus is growing behind healthcare price transparency
Election day 2020 will mark the end of a divisive election season (or the beginning of the end, depending on how long vote counting takes). For many voters, healthcare has consistently been a top-of-mind issue this election cycle. Democratic and Republican political parties - at national, state and local levels - and presidential candidates have different and competing visions for healthcare policy in 2021 and beyond, which in some cases have driven Americans further apart.

BUSINESS HEADLINES

Park City poised to distribute $2.2 million in coronavirus relief to small businesses, not-for-profits (Park Record) Derek Miller: Regardless of who wins the election, economic recovery must continue (Deseret News) Utah brewers are feeling the effects of stronger beer in grocery stores (Salt Lake Tribune)

On This Day In History

(From History.com)

1947 - Howard Hughes' "Spruce Goose," also known as the "Hughes Flying Boat," makes its first and only flight. The massive wooden airplane had a wingspan longer than a football field and was designed to carry more than 700 men to battle. Largest aircraft ever built at the time.
1948 - In one of the greatest upsets in presidential election history, Democratic incumbent Harry S. Truman defeats Republican challenger Thomas E. Dewey, the governor of New York. Political analysts and polls had predicted a Dewey victory and the Chicago Tribune even published an early edition with the banner headline: "Dewey Defeats Truman."
1960 - The 'Lady Chatterly's Lover' obscenity trial ends with an acquittal of Penguin Books, which had published an unedited version of the D.H. Lawrence book.
1983 - Pres. Ronald Reagan signs a bill designating a federal holiday honoring Martin Luther King, Jr., to be observed on the third Monday of January.