Let's Unpack ThisHow could the so-called “double haters” shape this year’s presidential election? Meet: the “double haters.” They are the 16% to 20% of the electorate who have unfavorable views of both President Biden and former President Trump. This group isn’t new, double haters have been around for multiple election cycles. But they can be unpredictable and that’s something that pollsters like Charles Franklin, professor of law and public policy and director of the Marquette Law School Poll, are watching: “What we don’t know over the next six months is: Does this level of dissatisfaction start to come down as people really look at the alternatives of Biden and Trump and face the reality that that’s their practical choice?” Double haters are more likely to say they’d vote for a third-party candidate or not vote at all. Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has made progress gaining ballot access in states across the country and is trying to get on the June presidential debate stage. But, if history is any indication, double haters might ultimately opt for one of the two major party candidates. “In 2016, the double haters broke substantially for Trump, but in 2020 they broke substantially for Biden,” Franklin said. ”That’s no help at all for knowing which way they’ll break this year, except to say that... they actually could be pretty important for determining the winner of the election.” |