We publish daily coverage of mortgage rate movement and have done so for nearly 20 years now. It's a great place to quickly check in on rate trends and to get a sense of what's true and what matters. If you'd been checking in at any point in the past few days/weeks, you likely saw one of several attempts to remind readers that today's Fed rate cut not only had absolutely no implication for lower mortgage rates, but indeed that mortgage rates have often moved higher on the same day that the Fed cuts. That's what happened today. Interestingly enough, mortgage rates were already slightly higher than yesterday BEFORE the Fed announcement came out. The bonds that dictate mortgage rates are actually pointing to even higher rates tomorrow unless there's a decent improvement overnight. Given short attention spans, here's a bullet point list of why this paradox can exist: The Fed meets 8 times a year whereas mortgages can move every day The bonds that influence mortgages can move every second. That means mortgage rates had a long head start toward lower rates while the Fed waited for their meeting date A trader would be stupid to keep a tradeable rate/bond in higher territory if they knew as well as you did that the Fed was cutting rates today. Why would they wait to trade mortgage rates lower? Nothing was stopping them and that's why rates have dropped so much in recent months.
MBS Commentary | Hamlet's Advice on Fed Day | There is special providence in a 50bp Fed rate cut. If it be now, 'tis not to come (until the next Fed meeting perhaps). If it be not to come, it will be now: if it be not now, yet it will come. Hamlet may have known about sp... (read more) |
| | 30 Yr. Fixed Rate | 6.15% +0.04% |
| Rate | Change | Points |
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Mortgage News Daily | 30 Yr. Fixed | 6.15% | +0.04 | 0.00 | 15 Yr. Fixed | 5.65% | +0.02 | 0.00 | 30 Yr. FHA | 5.70% | +0.05 | 0.00 | 30 Yr. Jumbo | 6.40% | +0.02 | 0.00 | 7/6 SOFR ARM | 6.15% | +0.03 | 0.00 | 30 Yr. VA | 5.72% | +0.06 | 0.00 | Updates Daily - Last Update: 9/18 | |
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15 Yr. Fixed Rate | 5.65% +0.02% |
| Rate | Change | Points |
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Freddie Mac | 30 Yr. Fixed | 6.20% | -0.15 | 0.00 | 15 Yr. Fixed | 5.27% | -0.20 | 0.00 | Updates Weekly - Last Update: 9/12 | Rate | Change | Points |
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Mortgage Bankers Assoc. | 30 Yr. Fixed | 6.44% | -0.06 | 0.54 | 15 Yr. Fixed | 5.88% | -0.16 | 0.68 | 30 Yr. Jumbo | 6.75% | +0.07 | 0.39 | Updates Weekly - Last Update: 8/28 | |
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| UMBS 30YR 5.0 | 100.28 -0.18 |
| Price / Yield | Change |
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MBS | UMBS 5.0 | 100.28 | -0.18 | UMBS 5.5 | 101.40 | -0.16 | GNMA 5.0 | 100.37 | -0.09 | GNMA 5.5 | 101.15 | -0.02 | Pricing as of: 9/18 5:31PM EST | |
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10 Year US Treasury | 3.7052 +0.0502 |
| Price / Yield | Change |
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US Treasury | 2 YR Treasury | 3.620 | +0.013 | 5 YR Treasury | 3.484 | +0.040 | 7 YR Treasury | 3.583 | +0.041 | 10 YR Treasury | 3.705 | +0.050 | 30 YR Treasury | 4.024 | +0.065 | Pricing as of: 9/18 5:31PM EST | |
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