Plus, election-related events to mark on your calendar.
Echoes of 2006: Israel, Hezbollah, and the potential for regional war “Escalatory cycles are hard to control in situations such as today’s, where no precedents exist and previous unwritten rules of the game—such as tit-for-tat geographically limited and low-casualty strikes between Hezbollah and Israel—have been discarded.” The post-October 7 escalatory cycle of violence between Israel and Hezbollah invokes comparisons to the 34-day Israel-Hezbollah war of 2006. Jeffrey Feltman explains why this example is grossly inadequate to describe the current peril. | Election-related events to mark on your calendar Political polling and its challenges. On August 12, pollsters Amy Walter and David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report join Camille Busette in conversation on election polling and what it can indicate about the November elections. Democrats convene in Chicago. After the Democratic National Convention concludes, tune in for a discussion on August 26 with Elaine Kamarck, Gabriel R. Sanchez, E.J. Dionne, Jr., and Doyle McManus about the major takeaways. Addressing challenges at the southern border. How the next U.S. administration and Congress manage relations with new leadership in Mexico will affect border security, immigration policies, trade and energy relations, and counter-narcotics and anti-crime cooperation. On August 27, Vanda Felbab-Brown, Michael Kagan, Rachel Torres, John Tuman, Amber Dixon will explore the future of U.S.-Mexico relations as a part of our Election ’24 initiative. | About Brookings The Brookings Institution is a nonprofit organization based in Washington, D.C. Our mission is to conduct in-depth, nonpartisan research to improve policy and governance at local, national, and global levels. If you were forwarded this email, sign up for the Brookings Brief to stay updated on our latest work. | The conclusions and recommendations of any Brookings publication are solely those of its author(s), and do not reflect the views of the Institution, its management, or its other scholars. | |